Archive for National Agricultural Statistics Service

Record-High US Agricultural Land Values in 2024

Get the scoop on 2024’s record-high farmland values. How can dairy farmers manage these rising costs to ensure their farm’s future?

Summary: The 2024 USDA Land Values report indicates that farm real estate values have increased to $4,170 per acre, up 5% from last year. Florida experienced the most significant rise at 13.4%, while Wisconsin’s values remained unchanged. Since 2010, cropland and pastureland have surged by 106% and 73%, respectively, with notable increases in states like Tennessee, Ohio, Florida, and Virginia. Factors such as limited availability, high yields, and historically low interest rates have driven these increases, though stabilization is anticipated with rising interest rates and lower commodity prices. The most expensive farmland is found in the Northeast, with Rhode Island’s prices peaking at $22,000 per acre. This trend may encourage dairy producers to seek more affordable areas like Wisconsin.

  • 2024 farm real estate values have risen to an average of $4,170 per acre, a 5% increase from the previous year.
  • Florida experienced the highest year-over-year increase in land values at 13.4%.
  • Wisconsin’s farm real estate values remained flat, showing no increase in the past year.
  • Cropland values have increased by 106% since 2010, while pastureland values have increased by 73% in the same period.
  • Key states with notable increases in land values include Tennessee, Ohio, Florida, and Virginia.
  • Historically, low interest rates, high yields, and limited availability of land are primary factors driving up land values.
  • The Northeast region has the most expensive farmland, with Rhode Island reaching $22,000 per acre.
  • Stabilization in land values is expected due to rising interest rates and lower commodity prices.
  • High land costs might prompt dairy farmers to explore more affordable land in states like Wisconsin.
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Have you observed an increase in agricultural land values recently? In our comprehensive ‘Agricultural Industry Analysis ‘, we found that in 2024, agricultural real estate values increased to an average of $4,170 per acre, representing the fourth consecutive year of growth. This tendency is significant for dairy producers who depend mainly on land for grazing and feed production. Are you prepared for the rising costs? The USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service states, “Since 2010, the total farm real estate value has risen by a staggering 94%.” Understanding these record-high values is critical because they influence everything from your financial bottom line to strategic strategy. Stay knowledgeable and adaptive as you handle these economic upheavals.

In 2024, the average agricultural real estate value was $4,170 per acre, a 5% increase from the previous year. Cropland prices grew to $5,570 per acre, up $250, while pasture prices rose to $1,830 per acre, a $90 rise. Florida witnessed the most significant increase, up 13.4%, pushing average prices to $8,300 per acre. Tennessee and Virginia followed with advances of 10.7% and 10.4%, respectively. Surprisingly, no state saw a fall in land values, with Wisconsin’s prices remaining unchanged at $6,120 per acre. In the Northeast, Rhode Island had the highest cost per acre, at $22,000.

These changes have been fueled by housing scarcity and record-low mortgage rates.

StateAverage Farm Real Estate Value per Acre (2024)Year-over-Year Increase (%)
Florida$8,30013.4%
Tennessee$7,50010.7%
Virginia$6,90010.4%
Wisconsin$6,1200%
California$13,4002.3%
Rhode Island$22,0006%

A Tale of Two Lands: Cropland vs. Pastureland 

The remarkable difference in cropland and pastureland value has risen over the last decade. Cropland prices have increased by 106% since 2010, owing to high demand and limited supply, whereas pastureland has risen by just 73%. This distinction emphasizes diverse market dynamics in the agriculture industry. In Florida, farmland expenses increased by 9.5% last year, while pastureland values increased by 12.7%, highlighting regional differences in land value increases.

High land prices in the Northeast may drive dairy producers to more economical places. Wisconsin, for example, has constant property prices of $6,120 per acre, making it appealing to stability seekers. Tennessee and Virginia, despite double-digit increases, are still doable at $4,750 and $5,800 per acre, respectively. With a 13.4% rise to $8,300 per acre, Florida’s favorable environment continues to attract farmers.

Rising farmland values in locations such as Ohio and Tennessee may cause dairy enterprises to relocate to areas with less expensive pasture land. Considering these variables, where will the next dairy farming boom occur? Are the dangers worth the possible benefits? This shift in the industry landscape could present new opportunities for growth and success.

Why Farmland Values Keep Surging: Scarcity, Technology, and Low Interest Rates 

Several significant variables have influenced agricultural land prices during the last decade. One of the most crucial is the scarcity of quality farmland. As cities grow and land suited for agriculture becomes scarcer, the demand for existing farmland rises, boosting its value. This shortage has been especially severe in highly populated areas, where farmland is often transformed into residential or commercial space.

High yields have also helped to drive up the value of agricultural land. Thanks to advances in farming technology and better crop types, farmers can now produce more with the same amount of land. This results in better profitability per acre, placing such land in high demand. Modern agricultural land is very productive, inevitably increasing its market value.

Historically, low interest rates for most of the last decade have made borrowing more inexpensive, encouraging increased investment in agricultural land. With lower-interest loans, both incumbent farmers eager to expand and new entrants to the market have been able to acquire more land, driving up demand and prices. Despite recent interest rate rises, the general rising trend in land prices has continued. These forces have produced a powerful combination that has driven agricultural land prices to historic highs, creating difficulties and possibilities for existing landowners and investors.

The Calm After the Storm? Navigating the Shifting Landscape of Agricultural Land Values 

Agricultural land prices have steadily increased owing to restricted availability, good returns, and historically low interest rates. However, recent events, such as rising interest rates and a drop in commodity prices, may indicate stable land values. Dairy producers are certainly wondering what this means for them.

As borrowing costs rise with increased interest rates, this often serves as a cooling mechanism for high asset values, primarily agricultural land. While land prices are unlikely to fall drastically, this trend may make property purchases more financially accessible than in previous years. This slowing of expansion may give a much-needed break for farmers aiming to expand or newcomers to farming.

Stabilization comes at a vital moment since commodity prices are also falling. This limits the earning potential of agricultural land, which may restrict the rise of land value. This translates to a more stable market environment for dairy producers, allowing for more significant financial planning and less competitive pressure on land acquisitions. Staying educated and informed about these changes may help you gain a competitive advantage as you navigate this ever-changing marketplace.

A Milking Dilemma: Navigating Rising Land Costs in the Dairy Industry

Like many others in the agriculture industry, dairy producers are suffering the effects of increased land prices. These expenses may substantially influence profitability, operational choices, and long-term planning initiatives.

Profitability Concerns: Higher land prices increase initial expenditures for dairy farming businesses. This may lead to higher debt burdens or financial distress, particularly for new entrants to the industry. Furthermore, rising land prices might cut into current farmers’ profits, making it challenging to continue viable operations. With milk prices often fluctuating, the tight financial rope grows thinner.

Operational Decisions: The rising value of agricultural land may compel dairy producers to reconsider their operating strategy. For example, they may need to optimize land usage more rigorously, maybe transitioning to more intense agricultural practices to maximize yield from fewer areas. Alternatively, some farmers may explore diversifying their revenue sources and introducing supplementary agricultural operations to help offset rising expenses.

Long-term Planning: When preparing for the future, high land prices substantially impede expansion. Increasing herd levels and updating infrastructure may be costly. Furthermore, succession planning, which is critical for family-run dairy farms, becomes more problematic. Passing down an increasingly valued asset may place further financial constraints on the following generation.

Dairy producers are stuck between increasing land values and fluctuating commodity prices. It’s a problematic climate that needs strategic changes to remain successful. Whether investing in technology to increase productivity or exploring alternative financing alternatives, dairy producers must seek inventive ways to manage these challenging times.

The Bottom Line

The growing trend in agricultural land prices shows no signs of stopping in 2024. The average agricultural real estate value is now $4,170 per acre, up 5% from last year and representing a 94% growth since 2010. Regional inequalities are apparent, with the Northeast and California having much greater land values than other states. Notably, Florida saw the most significant year-over-year gain, with a 13.4% increase in land value. This growing trend is driven by limited land supply, strong returns, and historically low loan rates. However, recent interest rate rises may indicate near-term stability. Think about how these events will affect your long-term plans and financial choices. With land prices so high, how will you adjust to the new agricultural landscape?

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U.S. Milk Production Dips Slightly in May 2024, While South Dakota Surges with 10% Increase

Explore the factors behind the slight decline in U.S. milk production for May 2024 and delve into the remarkable 10% increase in South Dakota’s output. What allowed this state to defy the national trend? Continue reading to uncover the details.

The most recent USDA data presents a complex picture for May 2024. Though down 0.7% from May 2023, South Dakota stood out as total U.S. milk output marginally dropped to 18.9 billion pounds. Here, milk output jumped by a startling 10%.

“The 24 central dairy-producing states provided 18.9 billion pounds of milk in May 2024, a little drop. Still, the USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service notes that South Dakota’s dairy producers enjoyed an impressive 10% gain.

This opposite tendency draws attention to regional agricultural dynamics and clarifies the changes in U.S. dairy output.

USDA June 2024 Report: Nuanced Shifts and Subtle Declines in U.S. Dairy Production

CategoryMay 2023May 2024Percentage Change
Total Milk Production (billion pounds)19.919.7-0.9%
Production per Cow (pounds)2,1252,122-0.14%
Number of Milk Cows (million head)8.9428.89-0.58%
Total Milk Production in South Dakota (million pounds)38242010%
Number of Milk Cows in South Dakota (thousand head)1932129.84%
Production per Cow in South Dakota (pounds)1,9791,9800.05%

According to the USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service, the 24 central dairy-producing states produced 18.9 billion pounds of milk in May 2024, declining 0.7% from May 2023. This drop reflects cow numbers and production efficiency changes, highlighting continuous difficulties in the dairy industry.

The revised April output was 18.3 billion pounds. In May 2024, the average cow output was 2,122 pounds—three pounds less than in May 2023. Milk cows numbered 8.89 million, 52,000 less than in May 2023 but 5,000 more than in April 2024. These changes show how the sector responds to environmental and financial demands.

Monthly Dynamics: Analyzing the Increase from April to May 2024 in U.S. Milk Production

MonthMilk Production (billion pounds)
January 202418.1
February 202417.8
March 202418.5
April 202418.3
May 202418.9
June 2024 (estimated)19.0

Generally speaking, milk output rose significantly in May 2024 compared to April 2024. While May’s production increased to 18.9 billion pounds—a notable monthly increase—April’s production reached 18.3 billion pounds. The 5,000 growth in milk cow numbers—which reached 8.89 million head in May—helps to explain this rise in some measure. Still, in May, productivity per cow averaged 2,122 pounds, a little down from last year. This dynamic draws attention to the difficulty of controlling the production and efficiency of dairy herds.

Unpacking Per-Cow Production Dynamics: May 2024 Average Output Dips Slightly

MonthMilk Output per Cow (pounds)
December 20232,100
January 20242,105
February 20242,112
March 20242,115
April 20242,122
May 20242,122

The average milk output per cow in May 2024 dropped somewhat from May 2023, at 2,122 pounds. Though minor, this decline might point to more significant patterns in the dairy sector. Factors can include variations in herd health, feed quality, or cow management practices. Furthermore, the industry’s shift towards more environmentally friendly methods might influence efficiency.

Strategic Herd Adjustments: Tracking Notable Changes in Milk Cow Numbers 

MonthMilk Cows (in millions)
December 20238.90
January 20248.85
February 20248.87
March 20248.89
April 20248.88
May 20248.89

This trend reflects more significant changes in the U.S. dairy sector, as modern dairy operations have concentrated output in certain states. Since 2008, these states have had a slower increase in cow numbers; nonetheless, by 2020, they will have exceeded conventional dairy states. The industry’s emphasis on maximizing herd efficiency and output is a calculated reaction to changing environmental and financial constraints in dairy production, reassuring the audience about the industry’s adaptability.

Subtle Shifts in May 2024: Total U.S. Milk Production Declines Amid Evolving Industry Challenges

MonthTotal U.S. Milk Production (Billion Pounds)Percentage Change from Previous Year
May 202319.9
June 202319.5-0.4%
July 202319.3-0.5%
August 202319.2-0.5%
September 202319.0-0.7%
October 202318.9-0.5%
November 202318.8-0.5%
December 202318.7-0.5%
January 202419.0-0.2%
February 202418.9+0.1%
March 202419.1+0.1%
April 202418.3-0.5%
May 202419.7-0.9%

With a 0.9% drop from May 2023, the total U.S. milk output in May 2024 was 19.7 billion pounds. This decline reflects a subtle change in the dairy sector that mirrors more general trends in strategic herd management and efficiency improvements. The decline may indicate labor limits, financial concerns, and environmental factors, even if farm management and genetics have improved. The U.S. dairy sector has to negotiate this complexity to be sustainable and competitive in a demanding market.

South Dakota’s Dairy Sector Defies National Trends with Remarkable 10% Surge in May 2024 Production.

StateMay 2024 Production (million pounds)Change from May 2023 (%)
California3,400-0.5
Wisconsin2,600+1.0
Idaho1,425+0.7
Texas1,300-1.2
New York1,200-0.3
South Dakota420+10.0
New Mexico370-2.1
Pennsylvania840-0.4
Minnesota825-0.6
Michigan910+0.2

With a 10% rise from May 2023, South Dakota’s fantastic milk production explosion contrasts with the general U.S. trend and results in a total output of 420 million pounds for May 2024. Strategic herd increases and improved dairy farm management techniques account for this development. With a 19,000 year-over-year average rise in milk cow count, the state reached 212,000. This points to a conscious attempt at industrial scale-up. Driven by improved nutrition and modern breeding, per-cow productivity has increased, enhancing production despite industry problems. One extreme outlier in South Dakota is its dairy industry, which uses creative management and effective resource allocation.

With cows averaging 1,980 pounds—an increase from May 2023—the average output per cow in South Dakota for May 2024 showed remarkable efficiency. This growth shows improved feed quality and efficient farm management, proving South Dakota’s dedication to maximizing dairy operations through calculated innovations and financial support. Though nationwide decreases, South Dakota’s strategy offers a dairy-producing solid model.

The Bottom Line

The USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service noted a 0.9% drop in total U.S. milk output from the previous year in May 2024. Nevertheless, South Dakota defied this trend with a 10% increase in production. The state accomplished this by increasing the number of milk cows and raising output per cow.

These opposing patterns draw attention to local differences in the dairy business. While South Dakota’s development shows good localized tactics and investments, the national fall may result from industry pressures and agricultural consolidations. With focused improvements, certain areas may continue flourishing while others see continuous decreases. These trends highlight the requirement of flexible, regionally relevant strategies to guarantee success in the American dairy industry.

The different patterns in national and South Dakota milk output provide critical new perspectives on the sector’s changing possibilities and problems, thereby pointing to a complicated and sophisticated future for dairy output in America.

Key Takeaways:

  • Total U.S. milk production in May 2024 slightly decreased by 0.7% compared to May 2023.
  • Production per cow in May 2024 averaged 2,122 pounds, marginally dropping by 3 pounds from the previous year.
  • The number of milk cows in the U.S. was 8.89 million in May 2024, reflecting a reduction of 52,000 cows compared to May 2023.
  • Despite the national decline, South Dakota’s milk production in May 2024 soared by 10%, totaling 420 million pounds.
  • The average number of milk cows in South Dakota increased by 19,000 from May 2023, with production per cow averaging 1,980 pounds.
  • April 2024’s revised milk production was recorded at 18.3 billion pounds, indicating a consistent production trend.

Summary:

The USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service reported a 0.7% drop in total U.S. milk output in May 2024, with South Dakota showing a 10% increase in production. This contrasts with the general U.S. trend, which saw a 0.7% drop. However, South Dakota’s dairy producers experienced a 10% gain, highlighting regional agricultural dynamics and changes in U.S. dairy output. The average cow output in May 2024 was 2,122 pounds, three pounds less than in May 2023. Milk cows numbered 8.89 million, 52,000 less than in May 2023 but 5,000 more than in April 2024. South Dakota’s dairy sector defied national trends with a 10% increase in production, attributed to strategic herd increases and improved farm management techniques. The report underscores the need for flexible, regionally relevant strategies to ensure success in the American dairy industry.

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