Archive for milk price fluctuations

Is the Federal Milk Marketing Order Reform Benefiting Dairy Farmers or Only the Processors?

Does the Federal Milk Marketing Order reform help dairy farmers or benefit processors? Find out if these changes are truly advantageous for your farm.

Is the Federal Milk Marketing Order (FMMO) reform truly beneficial for dairy farmers, or does it primarily benefit processors? This pressing question has ignited a heated debate as the industry is poised for significant changes. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) proposes revisions to update pricing formulas for all 11 FMMOs. A referendum until December 31, 2024, allows eligible dairy producers to vote on these proposed changes. If two-thirds agree, new pricing models will roll out; if not, some FMMOs might be dissolved, creating more uncertainty. This referendum will significantly impact whether these changes strengthen the farmers’ position or continue tilting the scales in favor of processors, affecting the industry’s financial health and future direction.

The Federal Milk Marketing Order: A Tale of Market Evolution and Modern Reform

The Federal Milk Marketing Order (FMMO) has a rich historical context, dating back to the Agricultural Marketing Agreement Act of 1937. This act, born out of the tumult of the Great Depression, aimed to stabilize chaotic agricultural markets. The FMMO, a key component of this act, was designed to mitigate milk price fluctuations that adversely affected producers and consumers. It achieved this by establishing fair minimum prices based on the intended use of the milk, whether for fluid consumption or the production of products like Cheese and Butter. 

Fast-forward to today: The dairy industry has transformed, sparking the need for reform. When these orders were first implemented, they didn’t foresee shifts like changes in consumer preferences or technological advances in processing. Present-day producers face challenges like increased supply chain consolidation and international trade pressures that the original pricing formulas didn’t consider. 

The USDA regularly updates these orders through its Agricultural Marketing Service to reflect current market realities. A recent 49-day hearing initiated by the dairy industry highlighted the urgent need to revise these orders due to changing dynamics. The hearing focused on necessary changes to factors like milk composition. It surveyed commodity prices, addressing long-standing inefficiencies in the pricing system. 

The proposed amendments are a wide-ranging effort to modernize milk pricing and marketing. They are meant to align the FMMO with today’s market and ensure this framework benefits all involved—producers, processors, and consumers. As the USDA progresses with the referendum, it is dedicated to balancing federal oversight with industry flexibility, keeping the American dairy sector competitive and sustainable in our rapidly shifting agricultural economy. 

A New Era for Milk Pricing: Unpacking the Reflective Amendments to Federal Milk Marketing Orders

The Federal Milk Marketing Orders are getting a makeover to suit today’s market needs better. Here’s a simplified look at what’s changing: 

  • Milk Composition Factors: Protein is now at 3.3%, other solids at 6.0%, and nonfat solids at 9.3%. This update aims to match the milk farmers’ supply more accurately with pricing.
  • Surveyed Commodity Products: Forget the 500-pound barrel cheddar cheese prices. Based on market realities, the focus is shifting to the 40-pound block cheddar cheese prices.
  • Class III and Class IV Formula Factors: Manufacturing allowances adjust to new rates, such as $0.2519 for Cheese and $0.2272 for Butter. The butterfat recovery is bumped to 91%, reflecting more efficient costs and methods.
  • Base Class I Skim Milk Price: The pricing will stabilize the market by taking the higher Class III or Class IV skim milk prices and making a new adjustment for products with an extended shelf life.
  • Class I Differentials: The changes will better reflect the costs in varying counties, ensuring that milk pricing is locally fair and transparent.

These updates aim to align milk marketing with modern-day realities, striving for a fairer and more transparent pricing system in light of evolving production and market conditions.

The Great Milk Debate: Are Farmers Being Milked?

The Federal Milk Marketing Order (FMMO) changes have sparked serious debate among dairy farmers nationwide. These updated pricing formulas promise to modernize milk price settings, offering potential benefits. Adjusting milk composition factors and surveying commodity products aim to align prices with current production costs better. With its high-Class I milk utilization, the Southeast stands to gain from these updates, possibly seeing improved returns. This potential for improved returns should bring a sense of hope and optimism to dairy farmers. 

Yet, there’s significant criticism, especially from farmers who fear financial loss. Concerns arise in areas like the Upper Midwest, where farmers predict a potential revenue drop of $0.70 to $0.80 per hundredweight. This is especially worrying in a sector already under pressure. Regional differences in impact also raise issues of market control. In areas dominated by processors, there’s fear that they could further tighten their hold, leaving farmers with little say over milk prices. This is a significant worry where cooperatives blur the lines between producers and processors, leading farmers to question the benefits of these reforms. 

Ultimately, these reforms aim to align pricing with today’s economic reality. Still, their success depends on local dynamics and market structures. Dairy farmers must weigh modernization against the risk of financial instability.

Processors vs. Farmers: Who Really Benefits from the FMMO Amendments?

As the controversy over the Federal Milk Marketing Order amendments grows, many are eyeing the potential benefits for milk processors. The adjustments, which focus on pricing formulas and allowances, seem poised to bolster processors’ margins. 

Updating the manufacturing allowances for Cheese, Butter, NFDM, and dry whey might reduce processors’ financial strain. These changes could help them manage costs efficiently while providing a safety net to protect their profits. 

The shift to using only 40-pound block cheddar prices instead of including 500-pound barrels simplifies the pricing process. This might benefit processors focusing on block cheese, allowing for a more stable financial outlook. 

Dairy farmers, however, express concerns that these changes seem skewed. They worry about a widening gap between their earnings and processors’ profits. Pressure mounts as farmers fear losing significant earnings per hundredweight, and they question whether these reforms genuinely support them. 

The debate is lively. Critics argue that processors might exploit these new conditions at farmers’ expense. As the dairy industry shifts, tensions run high, and farmers are unsure how these changes will affect them.

Regional Ripples: Navigating the FMMO’s Uneven Impact Across America 

Understanding the impact of the Federal Milk Marketing Order reforms across regions is essential as they approach. The Midwest, a cornerstone of the dairy industry, faces challenges different from those in the Southeast. By understanding these regional differences, dairy farmers can feel more informed and prepared for the potential impact of the reforms. Skepticism surrounds the proposed changes in the Midwest, which has strong milk production. High production costs and minimal Class I milk usage limit the benefits. Farmers in states like Wisconsin may find these reforms disrupting their delicate financial situation. 

In contrast, the Southeast presents a different picture. Here, higher Class I usage offers the potential for increased revenue. In states like Florida, where demand for milk exceeds supply, these reforms could be favorable. The area’s unique pricing structure and dependence on imported milk might make the changes advantageous. 

The regional adjustments within these reforms are crucial. In the Northeast, where production costs are similar to those in the Midwest but Class I usage is high, opinions are divided. Some see the changes as a step towards market stability, while others doubt long-term benefits. With such varied conditions, the FMMO reforms could create division rather than unity among dairy farmers. As the referendum continues, these regional differences will influence discussions, affect votes, and shape the agricultural story.

The Bottom Line

The path of Federal Milk Marketing Order reforms is stirring tensions in the dairy world. These changes aim to bring milk pricing up to speed with industry developments. Yet, there’s a conflict: do they favor processors more than farmers? This varies across the country. The Southeast may benefit, while the Midwest has reservations. Here’s the big question: Will these reforms make things fairer or widen the gap even further? 

If you’re involved, it’s crucial to participate. Voting in the referendum is your chance to protect your interests. Joining industry groups and sharing your thoughts with processors can boost your influence. 

Dairy producers and professionals must stay informed and use their power. The USDA website and agricultural groups have plenty of information and ways to get involved. As the vote deadline nears, remember that your decision today shapes the future of dairy. Are you ready to drive this change?

Key Takeaways:

  • The USDA’s referendum on the Federal Milk Marketing Order reflects significant proposed amendments to milk pricing categories aimed at modernizing industry standards.
  • The proposed changes are controversial, with debates centered around whether they substantially benefit farmers or disproportionately favor milk processors.
  • Regional disparities exist, with some areas potentially benefiting more than others, highlighting the complexities of the US dairy market.
  • The referendum’s outcome could result in either implementing new pricing structures or terminating certain FMMOs if not approved by a two-thirds majority.
  • Industry stakeholders express skepticism regarding the long-term benefits of government reform for dairy farmers, suggesting that the influence of processors remains a critical concern.
  • The discussions emphasize the persistent tension between the need for fair pricing mechanisms and the interests of different market players.

Summary:

The National Federal Milk Marketing Order (FMMO) referendum, driven by the U.S. Department of Agriculture, addresses key shifts in the dairy industry with proposed amendments to modernize milk pricing systems. From updating milk composition factors to revising cheese price surveys and altering Class III and Class IV formula factors, these changes aim to reflect evolving market dynamics better. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) seeks to modernize milk pricing to benefit producers, processors, and consumers by aligning milk composition factors with modern standards and focusing on 40-pound cheddar cheese prices. With manufacturing allowances adjusted and butterfat recovery increased to 91%, the Base Class I Skim Milk Price is stabilized, and Class I Differentials are updated for county-specific costs. However, the initiative raises a critical question: Are these proposals genuinely advantageous for farmers, or do they primarily benefit processors? Some farmers fear a potential revenue decline of $0.70 to $0.80 per hundredweight, highlighting the need to balance modernization with financial stability.

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Bullvine Daily is your essential e-zine for staying ahead in the dairy industry. With over 30,000 subscribers, we bring you the week’s top news, helping you manage tasks efficiently. Stay informed about milk production, tech adoption, and more, so you can concentrate on your dairy operations. 

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Unraveling Dairy Market Trends: Profit Insights for Dairy Farmers on December 5, 2024

Explore December 2024 dairy trends. Learn how farmers can profit amid export and production changes. Discover strategies now.

Summary:

The dairy industry is navigating a volatile phase, balancing opportunities and challenges. October metrics reveal a 1.6% decline in U.S. exports on a milk equivalent basis amidst increased cheese and butter production. While domestic cheese consumption rose by a modest 0.1%, export demand sustainability remains questioned. U.S. cheese production increased by 1.0%, with exports up 12.9%, and butter production surged by 3.1%, alongside record-high imports from New Zealand. NFDM/SMP exports to Southeast Asia underperformed, triggering downward price adjustments. These shifts demand rapid adaptation and strategic maneuvers to maintain profitability. The pressure from global and domestic markets is mounting, emphasizing the need for dairy farmers to stay informed. Cheese markets require strategic positioning, while the butter market undergoes significant transformations fueled by U.S. production and New Zealand imports. Meanwhile, the dry whey market sees a robust uptick, highlighting a complex economic landscape. The pricing environment attempts adaptation in a dynamic market where strategic adjustments are essential for survival.

Key Takeaways:

  • U.S. milk exports show weakness, with a decrease of 1.6% on a milk equivalent basis, hinting at potential challenges in international demand.
  • Overall cheese production in the U.S. increased by 1.0% in October, balancing with a matching rise in total sales, suggesting a stable cheese market.
  • Butter production has risen by 3.1%, with U.S. imports reaching record levels, especially notable with significant arrivals from New Zealand.
  • NDFM/SMP exports to Southeast Asia underperformed expectations, leading to adjustments in price forecasts.
  • CME dry whey prices have risen significantly, indicating intense demand pressures, in contrast to relatively stable European market prices.
  • New Zealand’s Global Dairy Trade (GDT) auction indicates varied demand across regions, influencing WMP and butter prices differently.
  • Adaptation and strategic decision-making are crucial for dairy professionals navigating ongoing market fluctuations and volatility.
dairy market trends, milk price fluctuations, cheese production growth, butter market changes, dairy export demands, NFDM SMP performance, dairy farmer strategies, U.S. butter imports, competitive edge in dairy, pricing environment adaptation

In the volatile arena of dairy markets, understanding the latest trends is not just beneficial—it’s essential for survival. Dairy farmers face many challenges today, from fluctuating milk prices to unexpected shifts in export demands. With global pressures mounting and domestic competition heating up, staying informed is more crucial than ever. “In these unpredictable times, knowledge isn’t just power; it’s profitability.” This article delves into the intricacies of the current dairy market, aiming to equip farmers with the insights and strategies necessary to navigate uncertainty. By exploring hurdles and opportunities in today’s dairy industry, we provide the tools to maximize profits and secure a stable future.

Dairy Dynamics: Navigating a Sea of Constant Change 

In recent months, the dairy market has displayed a mix of trends across various commodities, reflecting opportunities and challenges for industry stakeholders. Milk production has seen modest growth, accompanied by notable changes in cheese and butter production and fluctuations in powder markets, such as NFDM and SMP. 

U.S. cheese production expanded by 1.0% in October, signaling a balanced relationship between production and sales. This was due to a 0.9% increase in total sales derived from export surges of 12.9% and a marginal 0.1% rise in domestic consumption. This suggests that, contrary to concerns of market oversupply, cheese production levels align well with current market demand, providing a stable platform for dairy farmers. 

Butter production, on the other hand, surged 3.1% as compared to the same month in the preceding year, closely aligning with forecast figures. This was complemented by record-breaking U.S. butter imports, totaling an impressive 2,000 metric tons primarily sourced from New Zealand. Despite this influx, CME spot butter found support at around $2.50, hinting at a stable marketplace. 

Regarding powders, particularly the NFDM and SMP categories, October’s U.S. exports indicated unexpectedly weaker performance, prompting a downward revision of future price forecasts. The weaker performance was due to a complex interplay of global market conditions, including weaker-than-expected exports to Southeast Asia. Current demands appear soft, and the pricing environment is attempting to adapt accordingly. In contrast, the dry whey markets experienced a robust uptick, with CME prices rising above 70 cents, reflecting tight supply and persistent demand. 

The U.S. dairy market navigates various dynamics as global interactions and regional variances influence production and export outcomes. Cheese and butter hold steady, while powders present more challenging conditions. These conditions require vigilant market strategies to capitalize on emerging opportunities and mitigate potential risks.

Cheese Dynamics: Balancing Production and Global Demand

The cheese market presents a complex scenario for dairy farmers, characterized by a nuanced balance between production and exports. In October, U.S. cheese production saw a modest increase of 1.0%, aligning closely with the total sales growth of 0.9%. This suggests a relatively balanced market devoid of the surplus that could drive prices downward significantly. The driving force behind sustaining this equilibrium is the substantial boost in exports, up by 12.9%, effectively absorbing excess production and preventing market saturation. 

However, the international markets play a pivotal role in determining the trajectory of U.S. cheese prices. With cheese prices in both the U.S. and the EU experiencing a downward trend, there appears to be a spillover effect influencing New Zealand’s market dynamics. This convergence hints at a potential drag on global cheese prices, mainly due to competitive pressures from international producers seeking market share. 

This interconnected global market presents both challenges and opportunities for U.S. dairy farmers. While robust export growth provides a lucrative outlet and mitigates domestic oversupply concerns, the pressure from declining international prices necessitates strategic positioning. Dairy farmers must enhance their competitive edge through quality, efficiency, and adaptability to navigate such fluctuating economic currents. Understanding the impact of global economic pressures on the dairy market is crucial for making informed decisions. 

As we look forward, the cheese market’s balance hinges on sustained export strength. Observing the global economic landscape and international trade policies will be crucial in anticipating future trends and preparing accordingly. Optimizing production processes and exploring new markets could allow U.S. dairy farmers to remain resilient in this evolving cheese market paradigm.

Butter Balancer: Navigating Supply Swells and Steady Demand

The butter market, a critical aspect of the dairy sector, is experiencing noteworthy dynamics. Production increases in the U.S., up 3.1% compared to last year, have significantly shaped current market conditions. Additionally, record-large imports of 2,000 metric tons from New Zealand in October further impacted the supply side. These twin factors have contributed to the observable price point of around $2.50 on the CME spot market. 

Several factors explain this price support. Firstly, while domestic and imported supplies have swelled, demand has demonstrated resilience, potentially absorbing the increased availability—though price elasticity will inevitably test the limits of this demand. This suggests a marketplace where buyers are willing, perhaps even eager, to capitalize on relatively stable pricing before anticipated volatility in the coming quarters, offering a potential for profitability. 

Understanding these trends requires acknowledging the robust nature of current consumer demand and the potential cooling effects of any future economic slowdowns worldwide. As butter finds support at $2.50, stakeholders might anticipate a gradual adjustment as market forces recalibrate. This could lead to price fluctuations influenced by global economic pressures and domestic storage capabilities. Discussing the potential impact of future economic slowdowns on the dairy market can help farmers prepare for potential challenges.

Powder Market Performance: Navigating Soft Demand and Strategic Opportunities

The powder market, encompassing NFDM (non-fat dry milk) and SMP (skim milk powder), is experiencing a steady to slightly lower pricing trend. The demand side remains soft, driven by a complex interplay of global market conditions. Factors include weaker-than-expected exports to Southeast Asia, contributing to this pricing environment. The U.S. market has not seen a surge in demand sufficient to offset these weaknesses, leading to adjustments in forecasts and highlighting vulnerabilities in export markets [source: current market analysis]. 

In contrast, the CME dry whey market has witnessed a noteworthy surge beyond 70 cents. This price increase is partly due to tight fundamentals where stocks of whey, WPC (whey protein concentrate), and WPI (whey protein isolate) remain minimal. The robust pricing reflects an ongoing effort to ration demand, which continues to show strength heading into the first quarter. However, such tight market conditions may only be sustained for a while, and the pricing will likely adjust as market dynamics evolve. 

For dairy farmers, these market conditions present a dual challenge. On the one hand, the stable to declining prices of NFDM/SMP pressure profit margins, while on the other, the higher whey prices offer a glimmer of profitability but require strategic positioning to capitalize on. Balancing these dynamics demands astute market awareness and nimble operations management. The ability to anticipate and respond to shifts in demand and pricing will be crucial for maintaining profitability amidst these turbulent market conditions [source: dairy industry reports].

Strategic Maneuvering: Thriving Amid Market Fluctuations

Amidst fluctuating market conditions, astute dairy farmers can leverage specific strategies to adapt and thrive. One actionable insight is to diversify the product portfolio. With cheese and butter showing varied trends, consider focusing on products with stable demand, such as domestic butter, which has significantly increased consumption. 

Staying informed is not just beneficial; it’s vital. Regularly updating oneself with the latest market reports, governmental policy changes, and technological advancements ensures preparedness against sudden shifts. Engaging with agricultural economists and market analysts can provide insights into upcoming trends and potential challenges. 

Moreover, it’s essential to recognize the significant role of international markets. The recent variations in exports, particularly to Southeast Asia, underscore farmers’ need to monitor global demand fluctuations closely. Understanding these export trends can help identify new opportunities for expanding and diversifying market strategies. 

Finally, maintaining a flexible operational structure can allow quick adjustments in operations based on the marketplace indicators. Whether modifying production volumes in response to demand or exploring alternative markets when traditional ones wane, adaptability remains a key success factor in navigating the complexities of dairy farming today.

The Bottom Line

The dairy industry continues to experience dynamic shifts, with fluctuations in production and market demands requiring vigilant observation. Cheese, butter, and powder markets display varied trends, each influenced by production outputs, export demands, and regional buying behaviors, especially with the notable activity in markets like New Zealand and the United States. Amidst these changes, dairy farmers must remain alert to market signals and proactively adjust their strategies to maintain profitability. By understanding these market dynamics and anticipating future shifts, their decision-making can pivot from reactive to strategic. 

As dairy farmers navigate the complexities of supply and demand, the path to sustained success lies in leveraging up-to-date market insights and fostering agile business models. In a world where dairy sectors are unpredictable, the question remains: are you equipped to adapt quickly and strategically to these ever-changing tides?

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Bullvine Daily is your essential e-zine for staying ahead in the dairy industry. With over 30,000 subscribers, we bring you the week’s top news, helping you manage tasks efficiently. Stay informed about milk production, tech adoption, and more, so you can concentrate on your dairy operations. 

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China’s Super Cows: The Genetic Breakthrough Every Dairy Farmer Needs to Know About

China’s new super cows could skyrocket your herd’s milk production. Ready to see how?

Summary: China is making waves with their ‘super cows,’ dairy cows engineered to produce significantly higher milk yields. This breakthrough, led by Yaping Jin and conducted at Northwest A&F University, utilizes advanced cloning and genetic modification techniques to boost dairy production. Born healthy in Lingwu City, these calves are part of an ambitious plan to create over 1,000 super cows, reducing China’s reliance on imported cattle. While promising, adopting such technology poses challenges, particularly for US dairy farmers who must navigate complex breeding methodologies and potential regulatory hurdles. Overall, China’s advancements could signal a transformational shift in dairy farming worldwide, presenting new possibilities and considerations for stakeholders in the industry.

  • China has successfully cloned cows that can produce exceptionally high quantities of milk.
  • These “super cows” produce around 50% more milk compared to average cows.
  • Breakthrough in genetic modification and cloning played a crucial role in this development.
  • Potential benefits include reduced need for imports, lower farming costs, and increased milk supply.
  • Challenges such as ethical concerns, cost, and technological barriers may impact adoption in the US.

Meet China’s super cows: genetic wonders poised to transform dairy production. Consider having dairy cows in your herd that can produce almost twice as much milk as your top cows while being healthier and more resilient. Doesn’t this seem too incredible to be true? No, it is not. Chinese scientists have used cutting-edge genetic engineering to clone cows that could dramatically change the dairy farming landscape as we know it, providing incredible milk production (up to 18 tons of milk per year, roughly twice the average yield), improved health due to resistance to common diseases, and increased efficiency with less feed and fewer resources required. Advances in genetic cloning technology may soon be accessible internationally, enabling you to increase the production and efficiency of your herd significantly. According to an industry analyst, “The potential for these super cows is enormous.” Imagine tripling your milk output without increasing your overhead expenditures.” Discover how this invention may boost your farm’s milk output. Read on to learn more.

Decoding the Science: Cloning and Genetic Modification Made Simple 

To help you comprehend the “super cow” concept, let’s go over the fundamentals of cloning and genetic alteration. Cloning is the process of creating a photocopy of a live thing. Scientists extract cells from an adult animal, such as a cow’s ear, and utilize them to generate an exact genetic replica of the original animal. This technique entails introducing the donor animal’s DNA into an egg cell with its DNA removed. The egg then develops into an embryo, which grows into a new mammal genetically similar to the donor.

In contrast, genetic alteration entails directly altering an organism’s DNA. Consider modifying the text of a document. Scientists may add, delete, or modify individual genes to give the animal new traits. For example, they may change genes to make cows more disease-resistant or to enhance milk output. These genetic alterations are passed down to future generations, resulting in a new breed of highly efficient dairy cows.

Both cloning and genetic alteration require modern biotechnologies. These enable us to continually recreate our livestock’s most outstanding qualities, resulting in large yields and good health. While these procedures may seem like something out of a science fiction film, they are based on scientific study and have enormous potential to change how we farm.

Understanding these principles is critical as they become more widely used in agriculture. As a dairy farmer, staying current on these innovations might help you remain ahead of the competition and capitalize on future technologies.

Navigating the Roadblocks to Adopting Super Cows around the World

Implementing this super cow technology may seem like a dream. Still, it comes with hurdles and worries, particularly in the United States, Canada, and the EU. First, there are the regulatory difficulties. The FDA restricts genetically modified organisms (GMOs) and cloned animals.

Now, let us talk about ethical issues. Cloning is not without controversy. Some claim that it is playing God or messing excessively with nature. Others are worried about the cloned animals’ well-being and the possibility of unexpected health complications. Before using this technology, it is essential to consider the ethical implications.

Global Genetic Advancements: Beyond China’s Super Cows!

Scientists are not content with cloning super cows in China. The emphasis is also on breakthroughs with other animals and crops. Genetic improvements for maize, soybeans, broiler chickens, and breeding pigs are now being researched intensively. Northwest A&F University’s remarkable endeavor involves cloning racehorses and even cherished pets. These activities are part of a more significant effort to use cloning and genetic technology to promote food security and self-reliance in agriculture. Keep an eye on these advancements, as they can change dairy farming and cattle management in the United States!

The Bottom Line

Consider improving your dairy output by adding super cows capable of producing 50% more milk than your present herd. This technological breakthrough has considerable advantages, including less reliance on foreign breeds, possible cost savings, and higher yield. The main conclusion is obvious: adopting genetic innovations may transform your dairy operation. Stay current on the newest genetic discoveries and evaluate how incorporating these technologies may benefit your business. According to thought leader Peter Drucker, “The best way to predict the future is to create it.” Why not be at the forefront of the dairy revolution?

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