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Archive for Florida

Record-Breaking DMC Margins: What Dairy Farmers Need to Know Now

Saturday, August 31st, 2024

Learn how record DMC margins can boost your dairy farm’s profits. Understand feed costs, milk prices, and future expectations.

Summary: July 2024 saw dairy farmers benefit from the highest Dairy Margin Coverage (DMC) margin since May 2022, driven by decreased feed costs. The USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) reported a DMC margin of $12.33 per cwt, providing much-needed relief after months of tighter margins. This boost in revenue underscores the importance of the DMC program, which helps farmers balance revenue and feed expenditures. With larger margins, producers can reinvest earnings into farm operations, enhancing their financial health. Projections for the rest of the year remain optimistic, with anticipated margins reaching $15.70 per cwt in November.

  • July 2024 experienced the highest Dairy Margin Coverage (DMC) margin since May 2022, primarily due to decreased feed costs.
  • The DMC margin USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) reported was $12.33 per cwt.
  • Higher margins offer crucial financial relief for dairy farmers, allowing them to reinvest in their operations.
  • Projections for upcoming months remain positive, with margins expected to reach $15.70 per cwt by November.
Dairy Margin Coverage program, financial safety net, dairy farmers, low milk prices, high feed costs, DMC margin, revenue over feed costs, dairy producers, balance revenue, feed expenditures, regional variations, milk prices, Georgia, Florida, South Dakota, Iowa, Minnesota, informed choices, participation, farm's financial future, decrease in feed costs, larger DMC margins, profitability, return on milk output, additional earnings, reinvest, farm operations, upgrading equipment, cutting-edge equipment, projections, November

Imagine having the finest financial safety net for your dairy farm starting in May 2022. Sounds promising. July’s Dairy Margin Coverage (DMC) margin was $12.33 per cwt, a record high and the most advantageous revenue over feed costs in over a year. Dairy farmers should capitalize on declining feed prices to enhance profitability and minimize risks. Whether you’ve been in the dairy business for decades or are just starting, recognizing and capitalizing on these margins may significantly impact your bottom line. So, why should this news grab your attention? Let’s get into the specifics.

July 2024 Dairy Margin Coverage (DMC) Data
DMC Margin$12.33 per cwt
Milk Price$22.80 per cwt
Alfalfa Hay Price$237 per ton
Corn Price$4.24 per bushel
Soybean Meal Price$364.30 per ton
Total Feed Costs$10.47 per cwt

Why the Dairy Margin Coverage (DMC) Program is Your Farm’s Best Friend in Hard Times

The Dairy Margin Coverage (DMC) program is a reliable safety net for dairy producers, offering a balanced approach to revenue and feed expenditures. Launched to provide financial assistance during low milk prices and high feed costs, the DMC program brings stability to the dairy market by ensuring that farmers can meet their production costs. The program provides monthly margin forecasts by calculating the difference between the national all-milk price and average feed costs, empowering farmers to make informed decisions.

The DMC program has consistently proven its worth by providing significant financial aid during challenging times. The July margin of $12.33 per hundredweight is exceptionally bright, the highest reported since May 2022. This milestone represents a positive shift, offering dairy producers a much-needed boost in profitability.

Current Statistics: A Snapshot of July 2024 

For a detailed look at July 2024, there’s a lot to be optimistic about in the numbers: 

  • DMC Margin: The Dairy Margin Coverage margin hit $12.33 per cwt, the highest since May 2022.
  • Milk Price: The all-milk price remained stable at $22.80 per cwt, unchanged from June.
  • Feed Costs: A significant drop in feed costs has brought some financial relief:
    • Alfalfa hay: Down to $237 per ton, a $19 decrease from June.
    • Corn: Lowered to $4.24 per bushel, down 24 cents from last month.
    • Soybean meal: Decreased to $364.30 per ton, reflecting a drop of $19.80.

From Dismal to Delightful: How July 2024’s Margin Recovery Stands Strong 

It’s interesting to observe how July 2024’s margin compares to other of our more difficult months. Fast forward to May 2023, when the margin fell to $4.83 per cwt, and the recovery is dramatic. What a difference one year can make! By July 2024, we’d seen a strong rebound, with the DMC margin reaching $12.33 per cwt.

So, what is causing this positive shift? A significant decrease in feed prices is a central element of the narrative. Corn prices fell from $4.48 per bushel in June to $4.24 in July. Likewise, alfalfa hay and soybean meal prices fell, hitting low levels since early 2021. These decreases reduced feed expenditures to $10.47 per cwt, down 67 cents from June.

But it’s more than simply food. Milk prices have remained constant, contributing significantly to the positive margin. July’s all-milk price remained stable at $22.80 per cwt, matching June’s cost but representing a $5.50 gain from the previous year. The price stability and lower feed costs provided a more lucrative situation for dairy producers.

So, looking at your company and the data in front of you, it’s evident that monitoring market trends and feed prices may substantially impact your bottom line. The DMC margin for July 2024 serves as a reminder of how rapidly fortunes may change in the dairy sector and the need to remain informed and proactive.

Regional Variations and Their Impact on Margins

Have you noticed how milk prices fluctuate greatly depending on where your farm is located? Let’s examine some geographical disparities generating debate in the dairy sector.

For instance, Georgia and Florida had the most substantial rises in milk prices in July. Georgia recorded a $1.20 rise to $27.10 per cwt, while Florida followed closely at $27 per cwt, up $1.10. States such as South Dakota, Iowa, and Minnesota had even more significant year-over-year increases.

  • South Dakota: A phenomenal increase of $7.50 per cwt from July 2023 to July 2024
  • Iowa: A noteworthy jump of $7.30 per cwt year-over-year
  • Minnesota: Close on Iowa’s heels with a $7.10 per cwt increase

But what do these variations mean for your farm’s bottom line? 

The considerable disparities in state-level milk pricing directly influence DMC margins. When milk prices rise, the margin over feed costs widens, providing an excellent chance for farmers in higher-priced states to increase their profitability. In contrast, states with lesser or no gains see their margins compress, which may indicate that farmers need to think differently to retain profitability.

Understanding these regional patterns empowers you to make more informed decisions about participating in programs like the DMC or planning for your farm’s financial future. Keeping track of these geographical variations is critical to staying ahead and could be crucial to your farm’s success.

You’ve Likely Noticed a Welcome Shift in Your Feed Costs Recently 

Let’s examine why this occurs and how it affects your bottom line. First and foremost, grain prices have dropped significantly. The average cost per bushel fell to $4.24 in July, the lowest since January 2021. This decrease means you’re paying less for one of the most critical components of dairy cow feed.

Next, alfalfa hay prices dropped. In July, the average cost per ton was $237, down $19 from the previous month and $51 less than a year before. The last time we saw these rates was mid-2021, translating into significant savings on high-quality feed for your herd.

Finally, soybean meal prices have fallen to $364.30 per ton from $384.10 in June. Many people were relieved when feed prices dropped to levels similar to those in early 2024.

So, how does this impact the Dairy Margin Coverage (DMC) program? Said, this is fantastic news. Lower feed prices immediately translate into larger DMC margins. These lower expenditures helped boost the July DMC margin to $12.33 per cwt. This increases your revenue above feed expenses, making your financial situation more tolerable.

In essence, decreased feed prices benefit your farm by creating a buffer and giving you more financial breathing space.

What Do These Record-Breaking Margins Mean for Dairy Farmers Like You? Let’s Break it Down. 

First and foremost, higher margins have a direct influence on profitability. Higher margins indicate that you are making a higher return on your milk output after paying your feed expenditures. These additional earnings may be reinvested into your farm operations, whether to upgrade equipment, improve cow welfare, or provide a financial buffer for future uncertainties.

Next, let’s discuss decision-making. You can make strategic decisions that improve your farm’s efficiency and output when margins are high. You may have been considering increasing your herd or investing in cutting-edge equipment; larger margins may give you the confidence to make those moves.

Finally, think about your overall financial health. Better margins increase your cash flow, allowing you to satisfy your commitments on schedule. This might also result in improved loan conditions from lenders, providing more financial flexibility to operate your operations successfully.

These strong margins provide immediate comfort and a path to your dairy farm’s long-term development and financial security. Monitor these numbers and use them as a benchmark for your farm’s economic strategy and ambitions.

What’s on the Horizon for Dairy Margin Coverage? 

The Dairy Margin Coverage (DMC) program expects significantly better margins for the remainder of the year. According to current statistics, margins will likely hit a program high of $15.70 per cwt in November. This projection is based on feed costs of $10.48 per cwt and all-milk prices of $26.18 per cwt.

However, it’s important to remember that these predictions are subject to change. Several factors could influence the final numbers, including: 

  • Feed Costs: Any fluctuations in the prices of crucial feed components like corn, soybean meal, and alfalfa hay can significantly impact the margins.
  • Milk Prices: Global and domestic demand for milk and dairy products can drive milk prices up or down.
  • Market Conditions: Economic trends, trade policies, and unforeseen events, such as natural disasters or political changes, can also affect the market.
  • Climate Conditions: Weather patterns affecting crop yields can affect feed availability and cost changes.

It’s critical to be educated about these possible factors. Monitor market information and contact industry experts to make more proactive choices for your dairy farm. Remember that information is power, particularly in a dynamic business like dairy farming.

The Bottom Line

July 2024 has seen a hopeful upturn for dairy producers, with the Dairy Margin Coverage (DMC) margin hitting its highest since May 2022. This favorable margin is partly due to a significant fall in feed costs and robust milk prices. Central dairy states have witnessed different levels of improvement, with some seeing substantial rises in milk prices.

Feed prices have fallen to their lowest level since 2021, helping to improve margins even more. The DMC program has proved to be a dependable support system, with several dairy farms enrolling and benefitting from its payouts. Predicted margins over the following months point to steady improvement, providing a silver lining for dairy producers.

As you negotiate the difficulties of dairy farming, have you considered how remaining updated on DMC margins can affect your operations? Keeping an eye on these margins and staying current with industry developments might be critical. The future of dairy farming depends on intelligent choices and timely information—are you prepared to capitalize on these opportunities?

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Record-High US Agricultural Land Values in 2024

Friday, August 9th, 2024

Get the scoop on 2024’s record-high farmland values. How can dairy farmers manage these rising costs to ensure their farm’s future?

Summary: The 2024 USDA Land Values report indicates that farm real estate values have increased to $4,170 per acre, up 5% from last year. Florida experienced the most significant rise at 13.4%, while Wisconsin’s values remained unchanged. Since 2010, cropland and pastureland have surged by 106% and 73%, respectively, with notable increases in states like Tennessee, Ohio, Florida, and Virginia. Factors such as limited availability, high yields, and historically low interest rates have driven these increases, though stabilization is anticipated with rising interest rates and lower commodity prices. The most expensive farmland is found in the Northeast, with Rhode Island’s prices peaking at $22,000 per acre. This trend may encourage dairy producers to seek more affordable areas like Wisconsin.

  • 2024 farm real estate values have risen to an average of $4,170 per acre, a 5% increase from the previous year.
  • Florida experienced the highest year-over-year increase in land values at 13.4%.
  • Wisconsin’s farm real estate values remained flat, showing no increase in the past year.
  • Cropland values have increased by 106% since 2010, while pastureland values have increased by 73% in the same period.
  • Key states with notable increases in land values include Tennessee, Ohio, Florida, and Virginia.
  • Historically, low interest rates, high yields, and limited availability of land are primary factors driving up land values.
  • The Northeast region has the most expensive farmland, with Rhode Island reaching $22,000 per acre.
  • Stabilization in land values is expected due to rising interest rates and lower commodity prices.
  • High land costs might prompt dairy farmers to explore more affordable land in states like Wisconsin.
agricultural real estate values, average prices per acre, dairy producers, grazing, feed production, farm real estate value, USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service, record-high values, financial bottom line, strategic strategy, Florida, Tennessee, Virginia, Wisconsin, Rhode Island, cropland, pastureland, high demand, limited supply, Northeast, Ohio, Tennessee, dairy enterprises, quality farmland, farming technology, crop types, interest rates, borrowing, investment in agricultural land

Have you observed an increase in agricultural land values recently? In our comprehensive ‘Agricultural Industry Analysis ‘, we found that in 2024, agricultural real estate values increased to an average of $4,170 per acre, representing the fourth consecutive year of growth. This tendency is significant for dairy producers who depend mainly on land for grazing and feed production. Are you prepared for the rising costs? The USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service states, “Since 2010, the total farm real estate value has risen by a staggering 94%.” Understanding these record-high values is critical because they influence everything from your financial bottom line to strategic strategy. Stay knowledgeable and adaptive as you handle these economic upheavals.

In 2024, the average agricultural real estate value was $4,170 per acre, a 5% increase from the previous year. Cropland prices grew to $5,570 per acre, up $250, while pasture prices rose to $1,830 per acre, a $90 rise. Florida witnessed the most significant increase, up 13.4%, pushing average prices to $8,300 per acre. Tennessee and Virginia followed with advances of 10.7% and 10.4%, respectively. Surprisingly, no state saw a fall in land values, with Wisconsin’s prices remaining unchanged at $6,120 per acre. In the Northeast, Rhode Island had the highest cost per acre, at $22,000.

These changes have been fueled by housing scarcity and record-low mortgage rates.

StateAverage Farm Real Estate Value per Acre (2024)Year-over-Year Increase (%)
Florida$8,30013.4%
Tennessee$7,50010.7%
Virginia$6,90010.4%
Wisconsin$6,1200%
California$13,4002.3%
Rhode Island$22,0006%

A Tale of Two Lands: Cropland vs. Pastureland 

The remarkable difference in cropland and pastureland value has risen over the last decade. Cropland prices have increased by 106% since 2010, owing to high demand and limited supply, whereas pastureland has risen by just 73%. This distinction emphasizes diverse market dynamics in the agriculture industry. In Florida, farmland expenses increased by 9.5% last year, while pastureland values increased by 12.7%, highlighting regional differences in land value increases.

High land prices in the Northeast may drive dairy producers to more economical places. Wisconsin, for example, has constant property prices of $6,120 per acre, making it appealing to stability seekers. Tennessee and Virginia, despite double-digit increases, are still doable at $4,750 and $5,800 per acre, respectively. With a 13.4% rise to $8,300 per acre, Florida’s favorable environment continues to attract farmers.

Rising farmland values in locations such as Ohio and Tennessee may cause dairy enterprises to relocate to areas with less expensive pasture land. Considering these variables, where will the next dairy farming boom occur? Are the dangers worth the possible benefits? This shift in the industry landscape could present new opportunities for growth and success.

Why Farmland Values Keep Surging: Scarcity, Technology, and Low Interest Rates 

Several significant variables have influenced agricultural land prices during the last decade. One of the most crucial is the scarcity of quality farmland. As cities grow and land suited for agriculture becomes scarcer, the demand for existing farmland rises, boosting its value. This shortage has been especially severe in highly populated areas, where farmland is often transformed into residential or commercial space.

High yields have also helped to drive up the value of agricultural land. Thanks to advances in farming technology and better crop types, farmers can now produce more with the same amount of land. This results in better profitability per acre, placing such land in high demand. Modern agricultural land is very productive, inevitably increasing its market value.

Historically, low interest rates for most of the last decade have made borrowing more inexpensive, encouraging increased investment in agricultural land. With lower-interest loans, both incumbent farmers eager to expand and new entrants to the market have been able to acquire more land, driving up demand and prices. Despite recent interest rate rises, the general rising trend in land prices has continued. These forces have produced a powerful combination that has driven agricultural land prices to historic highs, creating difficulties and possibilities for existing landowners and investors.

The Calm After the Storm? Navigating the Shifting Landscape of Agricultural Land Values 

Agricultural land prices have steadily increased owing to restricted availability, good returns, and historically low interest rates. However, recent events, such as rising interest rates and a drop in commodity prices, may indicate stable land values. Dairy producers are certainly wondering what this means for them.

As borrowing costs rise with increased interest rates, this often serves as a cooling mechanism for high asset values, primarily agricultural land. While land prices are unlikely to fall drastically, this trend may make property purchases more financially accessible than in previous years. This slowing of expansion may give a much-needed break for farmers aiming to expand or newcomers to farming.

Stabilization comes at a vital moment since commodity prices are also falling. This limits the earning potential of agricultural land, which may restrict the rise of land value. This translates to a more stable market environment for dairy producers, allowing for more significant financial planning and less competitive pressure on land acquisitions. Staying educated and informed about these changes may help you gain a competitive advantage as you navigate this ever-changing marketplace.

A Milking Dilemma: Navigating Rising Land Costs in the Dairy Industry

Like many others in the agriculture industry, dairy producers are suffering the effects of increased land prices. These expenses may substantially influence profitability, operational choices, and long-term planning initiatives.

Profitability Concerns: Higher land prices increase initial expenditures for dairy farming businesses. This may lead to higher debt burdens or financial distress, particularly for new entrants to the industry. Furthermore, rising land prices might cut into current farmers’ profits, making it challenging to continue viable operations. With milk prices often fluctuating, the tight financial rope grows thinner.

Operational Decisions: The rising value of agricultural land may compel dairy producers to reconsider their operating strategy. For example, they may need to optimize land usage more rigorously, maybe transitioning to more intense agricultural practices to maximize yield from fewer areas. Alternatively, some farmers may explore diversifying their revenue sources and introducing supplementary agricultural operations to help offset rising expenses.

Long-term Planning: When preparing for the future, high land prices substantially impede expansion. Increasing herd levels and updating infrastructure may be costly. Furthermore, succession planning, which is critical for family-run dairy farms, becomes more problematic. Passing down an increasingly valued asset may place further financial constraints on the following generation.

Dairy producers are stuck between increasing land values and fluctuating commodity prices. It’s a problematic climate that needs strategic changes to remain successful. Whether investing in technology to increase productivity or exploring alternative financing alternatives, dairy producers must seek inventive ways to manage these challenging times.

The Bottom Line

The growing trend in agricultural land prices shows no signs of stopping in 2024. The average agricultural real estate value is now $4,170 per acre, up 5% from last year and representing a 94% growth since 2010. Regional inequalities are apparent, with the Northeast and California having much greater land values than other states. Notably, Florida saw the most significant year-over-year gain, with a 13.4% increase in land value. This growing trend is driven by limited land supply, strong returns, and historically low loan rates. However, recent interest rate rises may indicate near-term stability. Think about how these events will affect your long-term plans and financial choices. With land prices so high, how will you adjust to the new agricultural landscape?

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USDA Reports 10-Month Decline in U.S. Milk Production: May Numbers Drop 1%

Monday, June 24th, 2024

Find out why U.S. milk production has been decreasing for the past 10 months. Learn how cow numbers and milk output per cow are affecting the dairy industry. Read more.

The USDA’s preliminary May Milk output report shockingly reveals a consistent drop in U.S. milk output extending for ten months. With May showing a 1% decline from the same month last year, this steady dip points to significant shifts within the dairy sector. The continuous drop has changed the scene of milk output worldwide and pushed industry players to change their plans.

The ten-month run of low milk supply draws attention to systematic problems U.S. dairy producers face: narrow revenue margins, changing feed prices, and bad weather.

Reviewing the USDA’s data, we see: 

  • U.S. milk production fell to 19.68 billion pounds in May 2024, down 0.9% from the previous year.
  • Cow numbers decreased by 68,000 head, reflecting broader herd management strategies.
  • The average milk production per cow dropped by 3 pounds, influenced by various regional factors.
MetricMay 2024May 2023Change
U.S. Milk Production (billion pounds)19.6819.86-0.9%
U.S. Cow Numbers (million)9.359.418-68,000 head
Average Milk per Cow (pounds)2,1052,108-3 pounds
24-State Milk Production (billion pounds)18.87519.009-0.7%
24-State Cow Numbers (million)8.8938.945-52,000 head
24-State Average Milk per Cow (pounds)2,1222,125-3 pounds

A Deeper Dive into USDA’s May 2024 Dairy Estimates 

CategoryMay 2024May 2023Change
U.S. Milk Production (billion pounds)19.6819.86-0.9%
U.S. Cow Numbers (million head)9.359.42-68,000 head
U.S. Average Milk per Cow (pounds)2,1052,108-3 pounds
24-State Milk Production (billion pounds)18.8819.01-0.7%
24-State Cow Numbers (million head)8.898.94-52,000 head
24-State Average Milk per Cow (pounds)2,1222,125-3 pounds

The early projections for May 2024 from the USDA show significant changes in American dairy output. Down 0.9% from May 2023, the total U.S. milk output is 19.68 billion pounds. 9.35 million, U.S. cow counts have dropped 68,000 head from the previous year. Down three pounds year over year, the average milk output per cow is 2,105 pounds.

Milk output in the 24 central dairy states dropped 0.7% from May 2023, coming to 18.875 billion pounds. Down 52,000 head from the year before, cow counts in these states are 8.893 million. With an average milk yield per cow of 2,122 pounds, the milk output has slightly dropped from the previous year—3 pounds less.

Delving into the Dynamics of Cow Numbers: A Tale of Decline and Resurgence

YearTotal U.S. Cow Numbers (millions)24-State Cow Numbers (millions)
20209.458.92
20219.508.95
20229.478.91
20239.358.84
20249.358.89

Cow counts from the USDA show declining and then rising trends. The U.S. dairy herd dropped 68,000 head starting in May 2023, underscoring continuous industry difficulties. However, there has been a slight rise since October 2023, which has driven herd size to its most significant since late 2023.

The 24 central dairy states had a similar trend. From the year before, the combined herd of these states dropped 52,000 head, yet it somewhat recovered with a 5,000 head rise from April 2024. This points to a partial recovery in certain areas while others continue to suffer.

It’s important to note the stark differences at the state level. While Florida and South Dakota saw a gain of 27,000 heads, New Mexico experienced a dramatic drop of 42,000 heads. These variations underscore the influence of local elements such as climate, feed availability, and state-by-state economic forces.

Interwoven Influences on Milk Output per Cow: The Balance of Weather, Feed Costs, and Income Margins 

StateMay 2024 (lbs)May 2023 (lbs)Change (lbs)Change (%)
Florida2,0001,970301.52%
Minnesota2,2102,180301.38%
Wisconsin2,1002,075251.20%
Illinois2,1502,120301.42%
Iowa2,3002,270301.32%
Kansas2,1202,100200.95%
California2,0502,075-25-1.20%
Vermont2,0002,025-25-1.23%
Pennsylvania1,9802,005-25-1.25%
Indiana2,1002,125-25-1.18%

Income margins, feed prices, and regional weather have all played a role in the decline in milk yield per cow. Adverse weather patterns, such as droughts or excessive rainfall, can impact feed and water availability, which in turn can influence cow health and output. High feed prices might drive farmers to choose less nutritious substitutes, which can also affect milk output. These factors highlight the need for a comprehensive approach to address the issue, including strategies to manage weather risks and stabilize feed prices.

Income margins are crucially important. Tight margins often force difficult choices on herd management, reducing expenditures on premium feed or healthcare and, therefore, affecting milk yield per cow.

States like Florida, Minnesota, and Wisconsin reported increases in milk yield, up 15 to 30 pounds per cow, presumably owing to better local circumstances and enhanced procedures compared to year-to-year improvements.

States like California, Vermont, Pennsylvania, and Indiana reported losses of 15 to 25 pounds per cow, on the other hand. California’s ongoing drought and other difficulties, such as changing feed prices and economic pressures, highlight the careful balance between environmental elements and farming methods.

The Bottom Line

The USDA report by May shows a continuous drop in important dairy indicators—ten consecutive months of declining U.S. milk output; May 2024 down about 1% over last year. Though there have been some recent increases, national cow counts have dropped by 68,000 head. Because of regional variations in feed prices, weather, and economic constraints, milk yield per cow decreased somewhat.

These patterns point to a declining milk supply, which would be expected to raise milk prices. This change in prices could benefit medium-sized manufacturers, but it also poses challenges for the sector, including high feed prices and economic difficulties. These factors are driving the industry towards farm consolidation and increased use of technology. The decline in milk output also underscores the need for innovation and policy support to ensure sustainable development in the sector.

Given these trends, it’s clear that the sector needs to innovate to counter these challenges. Strategies such as improving feed efficiency, genetic selection, and dairy management could prove beneficial. Moreover, policy support is not just beneficial, but crucial for ensuring sustainable development in the industry.

Key Takeaways:

  • U.S. milk production for May 2024 is estimated at 19.68 billion pounds, a decrease of 0.9% compared to May 2023.
  • U.S. cow numbers have dropped to 9.35 million, down 68,000 head from the same month last year.
  • The average milk production per cow in the U.S. has marginally declined by 3 pounds, totaling 2,105 pounds per cow.
  • In the 24 major dairy states, milk production is down 0.7%, with total output at 18.875 billion pounds.
  • These 24 states have seen a reduction in cow numbers by 52,000, now standing at 8.893 million.
  • Despite the overall decline, some states like Florida and South Dakota show robust growth in cow numbers and milk output.
  • Conversely, significant decreases in milk production have been observed in states such as New Mexico and California.

Summary: 

The USDA’s preliminary May Milk output report shows a 1% decline in U.S. milk output for ten months, indicating significant shifts within the dairy sector. The ten-month run of low milk supply is attributed to narrow revenue margins, changing feed prices, and bad weather. The total U.S. milk output is 19.68 billion pounds, with cow numbers decreasing by 68,000 head. The average milk production per cow dropped by 3 pounds, influenced by regional factors. The U.S. dairy herd dropped 68,000 heads starting in May 2023, underscoring industry difficulties. However, there has been a slight rise since October 2023, driving herd size to its most significant since late 2023. Interwoven influences on milk output per cow include income margins, feed prices, and regional weather. States like Florida, Minnesota, and Wisconsin reported increases in milk yield, while California, Vermont, Pennsylvania, and Indiana reported losses.

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Categories : Dairy Industry
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