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Why Milk Costs More but Dairy Farmers Earn Less: The Global Dairy Dilemma

Find out why milk prices are going up while dairy farmers make less money. How does this global dairy problem affect what you pay for groceries and the future of farming?

As you navigate the aisles of your local supermarket, you may have noticed a steady increase in milk prices. However, what may not be immediately apparent is the global crisis that underpins this trend: consumers are paying more, yet dairy farmers are earning less. This is not a localized issue, but a global paradox that spans continents, from Australia to Europe and North America. The economic pressures reshaping the dairy industry have far-reaching implications, impacting local economies and global trade policies.

A Global Dairy Paradox: Rising Consumer Prices, Falling Farmer Incomes 

CountryConsumer Price Increase (%)Farmer Income Reduction (%)Milk Production Change (%)
Australia10-1610-16-29
United States128-5
New Zealand1510-2
United Kingdom145-4
Canada97-3

Current market dynamics have revealed a paradox: consumers globally face higher milk prices, yet the dairy farmers producing these essential goods earn less. This is not a localized issue, but a global crisis. For instance, milk prices have surged by 10-16%, costing a two-liter carton over $3.10. Simultaneously, farmers are struck as milk companies cut their payments and anticipate significant annual earnings decreases. This financial strain jeopardizes their farm operations and workforce. This dilemma extends worldwide, affecting farmers from New Zealand to France. Higher operational costs and market volatility place immense pressure on dairy producers, creating an emotional toll that leaves many questioning their future in the industry.

The Financial and Emotional Toll on Dairy Farmers Worldwide 

The financial and emotional toll on dairy farmers worldwide is palpable and heart-wrenching. Many are caught in a relentless battle to break even, much less invest in future improvements, yet despite their unyielding spirit, they remain on the precipice of financial ruin. Jason Smith, a dairy farmer from Irrewillipe, plunged into personal despair, confessed, “The milk company has cut prices so drastically that I will lose $217,000 from my milk cheque next year.” The weight of such a monumental loss bears down heavily, inevitably leading to the heartbreaking decision to let go of valued workers. “Some of these workers will likely be moved on,” Smith added, with a tone laden with regret, highlighting the severe impact on his 400-cow dairy farm.  

Mark Billing, Dairy Farmers Victoria’s leader, foresees further painful declines in milk production. “Milk production has been in a downward spiral for more than 20 years,” he remarked, underscoring the long-standing struggles that seem to offer no reprieve. Echoing this sentiment, Craig Emmett, a fourth-generation dairy farmer, echoed the desolation felt by many, “We’re starting to miss out a bit.”  

These financial hardships ripple through entire rural communities, straining the very fabric that holds them together. Families agonize as they strive to maintain essential services and sustain local businesses amidst mounting economic pressures. Global dairy companies are slashing prices due to market volatility, further exacerbating regional economic instability. “This will hurt regional employment and financial confidence in towns,” Billing stated solemnly, his voice tinged with forewarning and sorrow.  

In essence, while farmers grapple with intense financial pressures, the repercussions reverberate through the broader economic and social fabrics, leaving entire communities vulnerable and clinging to hope amidst uncertainty.

A Declining Trend in Global Milk Production and Its Consequences 

Country2018 (Billion Liters)2019 (Billion Liters)2020 (Billion Liters)2021 (Billion Liters)2022 (Billion Liters)
United States98.699.3100.1101.2101.7
European Union158.6161.2163.0162.5160.8
New Zealand21.321.922.422.121.7
Australia8.88.58.38.17.8
India186.0192.0198.0204.0210.0

The global decline in milk production has significant implications, driven by economic challenges, climate change, and shifting consumer preferences

In Europe, stricter environmental regulations and sustainable practices are reducing yields. Some countries are cutting dairy herd sizes to lower greenhouse emissions, directly impacting the milk supply. 

North America is also facing a downturn. Despite technological advances, rising operational costs and volatile milk prices are forcing many small and midsize farms to close. 

In Asia, particularly in India and China, changing dietary patterns and urbanization are straining local production, forcing these regions to rely on imports to meet demand. 

Sub-Saharan Africa has limited access to quality feed and veterinary services, along with inconsistent rainfall and prolonged droughts, all of which affect dairy herd productivity. 

This global decline creates supply shortages, increasing prices and making dairy products less affordable. This can depress demand, creating a vicious cycle. The economic viability of rural communities and small farmers is threatened, impacting local economies. 

Reliance on imported dairy products raises quality, freshness, and geopolitical stability issues, leading to a vulnerable and destabilized market. 

The dairy industry must adapt to address these challenges, focusing on innovative farming practices, supportive policies, and international cooperation to ensure sustainability and resilience.

Escalating Production Costs: The Multifaceted Challenges Facing Dairy Farmers Worldwide

RegionCost of Production (USD per liter)Trend (2019-2023)
North America$0.40 – $0.60Increasing
Europe$0.35 – $0.55Stable
Australia$0.45 – $0.65Increasing
New Zealand$0.30 – $0.50Increasing
South America$0.25 – $0.45Stable
Asia$0.20 – $0.40Increasing

Dairy farmers worldwide are grappling with soaring production costsRising feed prices, driven by global commodity markets and poor weather, are a significant challenge. Farmers across continents are witnessing unprecedented spikes in the cost of livestock feed, particularly due to the ongoing disruptions in global supply chains and adverse climatic conditions that have diminished crop yields.  

Additionally, increased energy costs impact transportation and farm operations. As the price of fuel rises, the cost to transport dairy products from farms to processors and ultimately to retail markets becomes more burdensome. This escalation in energy costs is a worldwide phenomenon, affecting farmers everywhere from the United States to Germany and India. Furthermore, higher labor costs make retaining skilled workers challenging. 

Regulatory changes and environmental compliance add financial strain, requiring investment in technologies to reduce the carbon footprint and manage waste sustainably. Government regulations in various countries mandate stringent environmental controls. For instance, in the European Union, the Green Deal aims to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, compelling farmers to adopt more sustainable practices, often at significant cost.  

Inflation further compounds these issues, increasing prices for essential goods and services. Inflation rates have surged globally, exacerbating the financial strain on dairy farmers who already contend with low milk prices and market volatility. In nations like Brazil and South Africa, inflation has reached double digits, putting additional pressure on farmers to cover rising operational costs.  

These factors collectively elevate operational costs, burdening farmers facing low milk prices and volatile markets. The intersection of these challenges creates a precarious situation, pushing more dairy farmers out of business and threatening the stability of the global dairy industry. As farmers struggle to stay afloat, the ripple effects extend beyond the farm, impacting global food security and economic stability in rural communities worldwide.

The Far-Reaching Impact of the Global Dairy Crisis on Rural Communities 

As the global dairy crisis deepens, its effects ripple through rural communities worldwide. Declining dairy farmingimpacts local employment, education, and the economic health of these regions. Dairy farms are community linchpins, providing jobs and supporting local businesses. When these farms falter or close, the community’s economic core weakens. 

Employment is hit hard. Dairy farms employ numerous workers for livestock management and daily operations. As farmers’ incomes shrink, they reduce their workforce or cease operations, leading to higher unemployment and broader economic distress. 

Local schools suffer as well. Many rural schools rely on farm families to maintain enrollment. A decline in dairy farming means fewer families, reducing student populations and potentially leading to school closures. 

Local businesses also feel the strain. Dairy farms support businesses like feed suppliers, veterinary services, and local shops. Financially strained farmers cut spending, causing downturns for these businesses and pushing rural communities toward economic desolation. 

The social fabric of rural areas is at risk. Many dairy farms are family-run, and their decline disrupts generational ties and community spirit. This fosters a collective sense of loss and hopelessness, affecting community cohesion and mental health. 

The dairy sector crisis is a call to action, highlighting the need for comprehensive support and sustainable policies. Ensuring the viability of dairy farming is crucial for the socioeconomic well-being of rural communities worldwide. It’s time to act, stand with our farmers, and secure a sustainable future for the dairy industry.

The Cost Conundrum: Rising Dairy Prices, Falling Farmer Earnings – An Overlooked Global Crisis 

The disconnect between supermarket prices and farmer earnings is a perplexing issue that many consumers fail to notice. While dairy product prices climb, farmers see their incomes drop. This paradox worsens during inflation, leading shoppers to focus on saving money rather than questioning price origins. 

During tough economic times, consumers often choose cheaper, imported dairy alternatives without realizing they are deepening the crisis. Ironically, they financially strain the farmers supplying their milk while trying to save, destabilizing rural economies. 

Lack of awareness fuels this issue. Most consumers do not grasp the complexities of milk pricing, where retail prices do not reflect fair compensation for farmers. Intermediaries in the supply chain take their cut, leaving farmers with little from the final sale. 

Solving this requires consumer awareness, policy changes, and fair trade practices. Without these efforts, consumers and farmers will continue to struggle, and the impacts on food security  and rural communities will worsen.

The Bottom Line

The gap between rising consumer prices and falling farmer incomes is a pressing issue impacting dairy farmers and rural communities everywhere. Farmers face financial and emotional strain, leading to downsizing and halted upgrades. This imbalance drives down global milk production and exacerbates the crisis. While imported dairy may seem cheaper, it often comes with quality concerns. 

Addressing this global dairy problem requires a comprehensive approach. Governments could provide subsidies, reduce market intervention, and promote fair trade to help balance the scales. Enhancing global cooperation to stabilize milk prices and ensure fair compensation for farmers is crucial. Investing in innovative farming techniques and environmental sustainability can offer long-term solutions, guaranteeing that the dairy industry meets growing demands while protecting the environment. 

Now is the time for coordinated global efforts to create a fairer dairy supply chain, benefiting both consumers and producers. By adopting a balanced approach, we can sustain this vital industry for future generations.

Key Takeaways:

  • Global dairy farmers are receiving reduced payments despite rising consumer prices for milk and other dairy products, leading to significant financial strain.
  • The reduction in farmer earnings affects the entire dairy supply chain, influencing farm operations, workforce stability, and local economies.
  • A persistent decline in global milk production is exacerbated by a combination of economic challenges, climate change, and shifting consumer preferences.
  • Dairy importation is on the rise as local production falters, further complicating the market dynamics and contributing to regional disparities.
  • Rural communities, particularly those heavily dependent on dairy farming, are experiencing adverse effects including reduced employment opportunities and weakened financial confidence.
  • Long-term sustainability in the dairy sector requires addressing root causes, enhancing consumer understanding, and implementing supportive policy measures and innovative farming techniques.

Summary: Milk prices have surged by 10-16% globally, causing a global crisis affecting dairy production across continents. Farmers are facing financial strain due to reduced payments and anticipated earnings decreases from milk companies. This strain affects farm operations and workforce, affecting farmers from New Zealand to France. The decline in milk production is attributed to economic challenges, climate change, and shifting consumer preferences. In Europe, stricter environmental regulations reduce yields, while North America faces a downturn due to rising operational costs and volatile milk prices. In Asia, changing dietary patterns and urbanization strain local production, forcing them to rely on imports. Sub-Saharan Africa faces limited access to quality feed and veterinary services, and inconsistent rainfall and prolonged droughts affect dairy herd productivity. This global decline creates supply shortages, increasing prices, and making dairy products less affordable, depressing demand and creating a vicious cycle. Dairy farmers worldwide face soaring production costs, including rising feed prices, energy costs, labor costs, regulatory changes, and inflation. Addressing the global dairy crisis requires consumer awareness, policy changes, and fair trade practices. Investing in innovative farming techniques and environmental sustainability can offer long-term solutions to meet growing demands while protecting the environment.

The Future of Agriculture: Time Bomb or Crystal Ball

Today our greatest dairy achievements could be at risk. At the very least there are seven issues that, if ignored, threaten to blow the agricultural industry to smithereens. These are food production, water conservation, climate change; land use; unpolluted air and animal and human rights. Each of these challenges holds within it the potential for disaster or positive improvement.  It is up to 21st Century dairy farmers to take responsibility for turning these threats into opportunities.

What are we as dairy breeders holding in our hands? Can we foretell a profitable, sustainable future? Or are we holding a time bomb that is set to explode?   

“We Want Food”

The oft repeated challenge is that agriculture must provide food to sustain a population of 9 billion at ever higher living standards by 2050. On the one hand, non-farm folks want the best food, and they want that to include the best quality, selection and quantity.  However, they want all of this produced on small (aka non-corporate) farms.  That unrealistic dream isn`t remotely possible because of the simple fact that the few remaining farmers would have the land, herd size or profit margins to feed themselves let alone the hundreds of non-food producing consumers who would be relying on them for subsistence neither. We all too easily forget that when we can’t feed ourselves, nothing else matters, because we will be dead in four or five days.  Having said that if there is a will to change there are now continuous digital communities that span the food chain and connect its many contributors. The potential is there to work together to help coordinate our food systems to meet the needs of the world`s hungry people.

“Without Water We Can’t Survive”

Perhaps the most threatening issue is the competition for dwindling sources of fresh water which are the key to providing for skyrocketing food, industry and living needs. Today, 70 percent of the global water withdrawals go to agriculture and food production for a rising world population.

This means that this is another area where farmers are targets of criticism. From the dairy side, all dairies must protect water from bacterial contamination to produce that safe milk. Furthermore, access to bodies of water on the farm must be restricted from cattle access and never in danger of manure contamination. Uncultivated areas should be maintained between fields and waterways. Responsible dairies test water quality regularly to ensure its quality. Enforcing such rules is difficult, and it is imperative that all water users address problems of inefficient energy production and traditional crop irrigation methods while dealing with ways to address issues caused by exponential population growth. There are numerous water agencies, but there is no coordination on ways to manage this shared resource. All levels including governments, international water management organizations, the private sector and businesses need collaboration in finding solutions.

One writer, referring to the documentary Blue Gold: World Water Wars, presents this chilling perspective.  “Wars of the future will be fought over water as they are over oil today. As the source human survival enters the global marketplace and political arena. Corporate giants, corporate investors and corrupt governments vie for control of our dwindling water supply, prompting protests, lawsuits and revolutions from citizens fighting for the right to survive. Past civilizations have collapsed from poor water management.  Can the human race survive?”

“There is No Fresh Air to Breathe”

As more of the population moves into city settings, livestock production becomes less familiar.  For some, the manure production is regarded as air pollution and not as a by-product of a necessary industry. Manure is valuable to fertilize soils that grow crops to feed dairy animals. Modern farmers are accepting the challenge of finding ways to collect, store and apply manure to land so that they can manage odours and GHG emissions. For example, bio digesters minimize odours and use emissions to make renewable energy: a double win! Managing manure is an important aspect of dairy farming. Whether it’s about saving electricity or recycling, we’re all becoming more aware of our carbon footprint and the importance of minimising it.

“Don’t Destroy the Environment”

Headlines would suggest that farmers are destroying the environment when, in actual fact, farmers were the original good stewards of land and water resources and should endeavor to be so today. These resources are, after all, how farmers make their living, so it makes sense to protect them. Analysis of complaints reveals that misleading perceptions are at the root of criticism. What the public perceives as an environmental problem often is not. It is rare that farm related benefits such as green spaces and wildlife habitat are acknowledged or counterbalanced with the fact that farms use far fewer resources than the average urban or suburban home. (Read more: Top 10 Misconceptions about Ag & Farmers)

“Give Me Land Lots of Land”

We drive our grandchildren crazy with road trips where we point out that the passing city skylines were fields as far as the eye could see when we were their age.  Even our farm was one of three on the horizon … Today there are six more houses here where green belt restrictions mean fewer sustainable farms and more suburbia encroaching all the time. In contrast, some places are seeing huge rises in the cost of land. The high prices not only keep younger farmers out, but also cause larger farms (that need expansion to remain sustainable) to move the entire dairy operation. It’s a catch 22 situation.  “Don’t use more land but also don’t use technology.” In many of these areas that are challenging the future for all of us, part of the answer could be provided by technology. Improved technology — fertilizers, pesticides, improved irrigation, new storage or processing productions, improved livestock genetics – can transform the productive potential of land and livestock. But, before that can be realized, those from all sides of the issue have to agree on the goal and the ways to achieve it.

“You’re wrong.  I’m right.”

With the growing metropolitan areas and consumer separation from food production, both sides are lighting the fuse that could blow food production to smithereens. Headlines grab our attention as accusations fly back and forth. Like fights between children, our immature wrangling could have fatal outcomes – for agriculture, for consumers — for the future.

“Animals Have Rights”

It has to start with accountability. There is nothing wrong with being accountable for the way we treat animals … and for the way we treat each other.  Everyone needs to accept responsibility for treatment of animals … and for treatment of humans as well.  Nothing is gained from smear campaigns or vicious attacks.  Rather than assumptions of wrongdoing there has to be a commitment to improvement. (For a balanced viewpoint on the relationship between animals and humans check this link)

“Who Will Produce the Food?”

The average age of North American dairy farmers is near 60. Every active dairy farmer has concerns about where the next generation of farmers will come from.  Not everyone starting out is prepared for the financial roller coaster, the 24-7 working hours and, topping it all off, the poor public image that are part and parcel of dairy farming today.  However, there is a silver lining.  A recent Fox news feature reported that Ag degrees are the hot ticket for job growth. They quoted data from the Food and Agriculture Education Information System that says enrollment in U.S. college and university agriculture programs are up 21 percent since 2006. The data show more than 146,000 undergraduates in Ag programs. (Read more: Common Misconceptions in Food and Agriculture).  Positive steps are being taking, such as one coming out of Michigan. On April 30, the USDA awarded MSU $3.9 million to help Michigan farmers adapt to changing climate, tackle food safety issues, and help small- and medium-sized farms better compete in the marketplace. (Read more: USDA issues grants to MSU for food security, production).

“Adapt Your Strategic Plan”

Without a doubt, your hard work created the success you have had in the dairy industry.  Successful cattle sales.  Show ring winners. Best crop grower in your heat zone.  You have built your dairy business on what you do best.  Are those same skills going to keep and sustain you in the future?  Are the trophies on the mantle going to take your herd where it needs to go? Is there a lineup at your barn door for the genetics you’re selling today? You had a winning strategy up to now, and it worked.  But now it is being threatened by one or all of the preceding issues mentioned in this article.  The single minded focus that got you here could be your biggest problem in going forward.

“We Can’t Afford to have More Questions than Answers”

Of course, all of these issues are real threats. It would be great if the sources could be instantly cured. However, the cures will take time and will not be easy.  Having said that, we can all begin to eliminate our own contributions to the problem. Prevention trumps treatment any day. Any step you take can be one small, but mighty contribution to defusing the global time bomb and finding new and better solutions for the social, economic and environmental impacts of agriculture and, in our case, dairying.

The Bullvine Bottom Line

When it comes right down to it, a future with sustainable, profitable food production isn’t a place we are going to … it’s a place we are creating!  The following graphic should give us the impetus to start the process with our own practices.

wasted food

 

 

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