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July 2024 Dairy Exports Surge, Setting Records and Outpacing Previous Year’s Performance

Explore how U.S. dairy exports are breaking records and surpassing last year’s numbers. How will these trends impact your dairy business? Learn more now.

Summary: This year has been nothing short of impressive for U.S. dairy exports. Despite fluctuations in some categories, overall growth remains strong, with cheese, whey, and nonfat dry milk all showing significant year-over-year increases. Cheese exports reached 88.7 million pounds in July, marking a new monthly high for the sixth time in 2024. Whey exports saw a 22.4% increase driven by Chinese demand, and nonfat dry milk exports hit a 14-month high, bolstered by record shipments to Mexico and an 80% surge to the Philippines. The sustained growth in these areas signals the U.S. dairy industry’s strength and presents promising opportunities for development and investment. However, the outlook for milk powder exports remains uncertain due to rising global prices and fluctuating U.S. output.

  • U.S. dairy exports vigorously grow across several categories, including cheese, whey, and nonfat dry milk.
  • Cheese exports hit 88.7 million pounds in July 2024, setting new monthly highs multiple times this year.
  • Whey exports increased by 22.4%, mainly due to rising demand from China.
  • Nonfat dry milk exports experienced a 14-month high with significant growth in markets like Mexico and the Philippines.
  • The U.S. dairy industry demonstrates robust potential for investment and expansion, offering promising opportunities for growth and development. This optimistic outlook is sure to inspire hope and confidence in the industry’s stakeholders.
  • Despite the overall positive trends, it’s important to note that milk powder export forecasts remain clouded by rising global prices and inconsistent U.S. production levels. This cautionary information is crucial for stakeholders to be aware of potential risks and make informed decisions.

By 2024, dairy exports aren’t just staying afloat—thriving. Month after month, U.S. dairy exports are making headlines and surpassing new benchmarks despite market ups and downs. This resilience underscores the strength of the U.S. dairy sector and should inspire confidence among all stakeholders. Diving into recent trends in dairy exports, mainly focusing on cheese, whey, and nonfat dry milk, we’ll explore why this matters. Understanding these patterns will help you make informed business decisions and possibly tap into emerging markets. In July, the U.S. shipped 88.7 million pounds of cheese abroad, marking a 9.4% increase from the previous year, according to USDA’s Global Agricultural Trade Systems. Keep reading to discover how this surge in dairy exports could impact your business and shape the global path for U.S. dairy products.

Export CategoryJuly 2023July 2024% Change
Cheese (million lbs)81.188.79.4%
Whey (million lbs)33.240.622.4%
Nonfat Dry Milk (million lbs)118.5130.310%

Dairy Export Trends: 2024 Marks a Year of Remarkable Growth 

With relation to dairy exports, 2024 looks to be a historic year. The most recent USDA Global Agricultural Trade Systems numbers show startling expansion in some dairy product categories.

July 2024 saw a significant milestone in U.S. dairy exports, with 88.7 million pounds of cheese being sent overseas, marking a 9.4% rise over the previous year. This increase, setting new monthly records for the sixth time this year, is a clear indicator of the growing demand for U.S. dairy products in the global market and a testament to the potential of the U.S. dairy industry.

In July, exports also saw a remarkable increase, rising by 22.4% yearly. The dramatic 34% increase in exports to China was a significant contributor to this spike, highlighting the increasing demand in Asian markets. This surge in exports to China clearly reflects the growing global demand for U.S. dairy products.

Notfat dry milk (NDM) also grew noticeably. In July, exports reached a 14-month high, surpassing last year’s level by 10%). Notably, sales to Mexico established a monthly record, up 20% from July 2023; exports to the Philippines jumped by an impressive 80%.

The vitality in these numbers emphasizes the worldwide performance of American dairy products, reflecting their quality. Cheese continues its strong performance, whey has mostly recovered, and NDM is still a necessary export good with great potential for expansion.

Sustained Growth in Cheese Exports: A Harbinger of Industry Strength 

Regarding cheese exports in 2024, we see a challenging trend to overlook. Comparatively to July 2023, July alone witnessed a startling 88.7 million pounds of U.S. cheese transported overseas—a 9.4% rise. These statistics represent the strength and resiliency of the U.S. dairy industry, not simply data on a chart.

More impressive, perhaps, is that, particularly to vital markets south of the border, this represents the 14th straight month of record-breaking exports. This steady rise emphasizes the growing worldwide demand for U.S. cheese and the sensible tactics American producers have used to satisfy it. Setting a new high every month shows U.S. cheese’s volume, quality, and dependability, which consumers all across like.

These figures should also be a sign of hope for dairy farming specialists. The rising trend presents opportunities for development and investment, opening doors to new markets. The regularity of these record-breaking months also points to a strong basis and implies that this trend is sustainable. As you review your company strategy, take advantage of this increase in cheese exports. How do you see this? Please let others know about your observations and experiences. This potential for business expansion and investment should inspire optimism and motivate industry professionals to seize these opportunities.

U.S. Whey Exports: 2024 Highlighting a Robust Recovery 

Considering the low 2023 standards, U.S. whey exports in 2024 have improved. The July exports jumped by 22.4% year over year. The 34% rise in exports to China is a notable engine of this expansion. This increase points to a noteworthy comeback and rising demand from one of the most significant worldwide marketplaces.

Export figures in 2021 and 2022 still fall short of those peak years. Still, the path of recovery shows a good change in 2024. Many elements probably help to explain this increase. First, whey is vital as high-quality protein products are increasingly sought after worldwide. Furthermore, the deliberate efforts of the U.S. dairy sector to improve traceability and quality have made U.S. whey a premium commodity.

This development has consequences beyond current sales numbers. First, it increases industrial confidence in reaching the Asian markets. Moreover, a steady increase in whey exports might open the path for more consistent pricing and help offset home supply changes. Professionals in dairy farming and related businesses should track these developments to modify their plans and seize the growing market prospects.

U.S. Nonfat Dry Milk Exports: A Rising Tide in the Global Market 

A notable increase in U.S. nonfat dry milk (NDM) exports has created ripples in dairy worldwide. With a 10% increase above the previous year’s volumes, July was a 14-month high in NDM exports. This represents the increasing demand for U.S. dairy goods and strategic orientation in critical global markets, not just a statistic. This increasing demand for U.S. dairy products should make all industry professionals proud and accomplished.

Mexico is still great; July exports show an all-time high—a stunning 20% rise from the previous year. This significant increase emphasizes solid trade ties and the demand for superior American dairy products.

The Philippines is another vital market with an 80% increase in NDM imports from the United States. This significant increase can be attributed to the expanding taste for American dairy products in Southeast Asia, indicating a growing market for U.S. NDM in the region.

Examining more general patterns, the U.S. NDM has a more significant advantage worldwide. Rising global pricing and China’s increasing purchases at recent Global Dairy Trade (GDT) auctions point to a decrease in milk powder stockpiles among important exporters and importers. This offers a unique opportunity for American goods to close the gap more clearly.

Still, there are some obstacles just waiting here. Reduced U.S. milk powder production might have restrictions; another element to watch is the recent rise in spot NDM pricing. U.S. milk powder pricing for German skim milk powder (SMP) and GDT SMP stayed throughout last year about 10ȼ below benchmark levels. However, recent rises in spot NDM rates have closed this difference and heightened the competitiveness for new businesses.

Stakeholders have to be alert even if chances for ongoing development abound. Quickly using these benefits and negotiating challenges will depend on closely observing market dynamics and world developments.

Mixed Signals in U.S. Milk Powder Export Forecast 

U.S. milk powder exports show mixed possibilities and difficulties in their projection. Rising worldwide pricing and higher Chinese buys at recent worldwide Dairy Trade (GDT) auctions point, on the one hand, to declining milk powder supplies of essential players. Under this situation, U.S. exporters could have fresh opportunities to fill the void.

The road ahead isn’t apparent, however. U.S. milk powder production has been somewhat poor, and the rise may hamper future sales in spot pricing for nonfat dry milk (NDM). U.S. milk powder costs were around 10ȼ below those for German skim milk powder (SMP) and GDT SMP for a good period—between September 2023 and July 2024—which gave it a competitive advantage. But that margin has dropped because of a late-summer surge in spot NDM prices.

This price rise compromises the competitive pricing edge, which makes it more difficult for American companies to get new contracts in a market growing competitive. Therefore, even if there are chances, especially with declining global stocks, U.S. exporters must carefully negotiate through these possible hazards. Strategic planning is thus essential for maximizing these trends without running into the related hazards.

The Bottom Line

When we consider the critical 2024 data points, it is evident that the U.S. dairy export industry is seeing excellent expansion in many different sectors. Cheese exports are setting records, indicating worldwide strong demand. However, whey sales to China and significant rises in nonfat dry milk exports to Mexico and the Philippines suggest other growing markets.

However, the milk powder export projection is still up for debate. While declining global stock and increasing prices should provide advantageous circumstances, changing U.S. production and competitive pressures could create difficulties.

What does all this mean for experts in the dairy business and farmers? There are chances for development and possible obstacles to negotiating in a developing export market. Leveraging these changes will depend primarily on being informed and flexible.

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Improving Processor Relationships: Key to Dairy Producers’ Future Success

Can better communication with processors secure dairy producers’ future? Discover how improving these relationships can address market challenges and boost confidence.

key to success – golden key isolated on white background

The dairy industry’s modernization underscores the crucial nature of producer-processor solid relationships. These relationships were tested during the global pandemic, highlighting the need for clear communication and mutual understanding to navigate market uncertainties, such as milk price fluctuations and processing capacities. 

“Inadequate capacity for processing is more than just a bottleneck—it’s a pivotal determinant in whether a farm continues as a dairy producer or transitions entirely,” explains DFA Risk Management president Ed Gallegher.

With significant investments aimed at boosting future processing capacity, the opportunities for growth and innovation in the dairy industry are immense. Yet, these opportunities are intertwined with challenges. Enhanced cooperation and communication are imperative for the industry’s sustainability and growth, sparking excitement and inspiration for the future.

Communication: The Cornerstone of Robust Producer-Processor Relationships 

Effective communication is not just a tool, but a shared responsibility for both producers and processors. It is essential for solid relationships, ensuring operational efficiency and strategic alignment. As the dairy industry grows more complex, both parties must engage in clear dialogue about daily operations, broader market dynamics, and potential risks, recognizing their integral roles in the industry’s success. 

Producers must understand milk price risks and food price volatility. Open lines of communication allow them to gain insights from processors, particularly in light of global disruptions like the recent pandemic, which have highlighted the need for these discussions. 

Honesty and forthrightness are essential, even when discussing challenging topics such as market constraints. This fosters trust and aligns long-term objectives, helping both parties adapt to consumer shifts and seize international opportunities, especially in growing Asian markets. 

Maintaining clear communication channels enhances market confidence and operational resilience. Through committed, transparent dialogue, dairy producers and processors can navigate the evolving global dairy landscape together, reassuring the audience about the industry’s resilience and adaptability.

Ed Gallegher on Navigating Economic Challenges through Transparent Dialogue 

Ed Gallegher, a prominent figure in the dairy industry and the President of the Dairy Farmers of America (DFA) Risk Management program, emphasizes the pivotal role of informed dialogue in strengthening producer-processor relationships. As dairies become more sophisticated, it becomes crucial for producers to understand the complexities surrounding milk and food price risks. Gallegher asserts that the COVID-19 pandemic has starkly illuminated this necessity. The disruptions caused by the pandemic have exposed vulnerabilities within the dairy industry, underscoring the urgent need for producers to establish robust connections with stakeholders capable of navigating economic uncertainties. This newfound awareness is driving a collective effort towards enhanced risk management and informed decision-making, paving the way for a more resilient dairy market.

Transparent Dialogue as a Catalyst for Addressing Industry Challenges 

Open communication addresses challenges like adapting to customer preferences regarding animal welfare and environmental sustainability. Transparent processors build trust and foster collaboration, aligning both parties on key priorities and market demands

As consumers prioritize sustainability, processors, and producers must discuss steps to meet these expectations, from eco-friendly technologies to humane animal practices. Open communication keeps both parties updated on regulatory changes and market shifts. 

Collaboration between dairy companies, farmers, suppliers, and research institutions thrives on transparent dialogue. This approach improves daily operations and long-term planning. Companies can then focus on cost reduction, efficiency, and market opportunities, coordinating sustainability efforts to secure consumer trust. 

Strong communicative relationships are essential in a competitive, changing landscapeDairy processors who share goals, challenges, and expectations equip producers to meet market demands, fostering innovation and resilience in the dairy industry.

Inadequate Processing Capacity: A Critical Threat to Dairy Producers’ Operational Dynamics 

Inadequate processing capacity poses a significant barrier for dairy producers, impacting their operations and strategic decisions. When facilities are stretched thin, producers face challenges in managing supply, sometimes leading to scaling down or transitioning to different types of farming, especially near retirement. This underscores a critical challenge: insufficient capacity can destabilize the supply chain, limiting growth and prompting a reevaluation of traditional practices. 

Moreover, the need for more processing capacity affects market confidence. Producers need to work on the sustainability of their business models under these constraints. The uncertainty of timely milk processing discourages expansions and investments in technological advancements, especially in an already volatile market influenced by economic fluctuations and shifting consumer demands. 

Given these challenges, robust and transparent dialogue with processors is essential. Strengthening communication can help align expectations and navigate the complex landscape of dairy production. Addressing processing capacity limitations requires concerted efforts, innovative solutions, and open discussions from all industry stakeholders about necessary changes and adaptations.

Producer Perspectives: Value of Honest Communication and Confidence in Processor Relationships 

Producers benefit immensely from fostering candid and open dialogues with processors. Honest communication ensures alignment on future aspirations, creating a collaborative environment that fosters mutual growth. This transparency leads to strategic decision-making, enhancing operational efficiencies and market responsiveness.

However, many dairy operators express uncertainty about the durability of their relationships with processors and the future stability of their milk market. Most dairy operators are uncertain about these relationships, highlighting the need to improve communication and trust-building initiatives.

Exploring international opportunities, particularly in the expanding Asian markets, could significantly bolster the dairy industry’s forward trajectory. Transforming U.S. dairy into a global powerhouse requires unwavering confidence in processor relationships and a willingness to engage in challenging conversations about market dynamics and capacity constraints.

The Bottom Line 

The rapidly changing dairy industry requires solid communication between producers and processors. Experts like Ed Gallegher say open dialogue is critical to navigating economic uncertainties and market risks. Current challenges, such as insufficient processing capacity, inflation, and geopolitical issues, make transparent interactions crucial. 

Producers echo the industry’s belief that trust and candid communication bring mutual benefits. Despite significant challenges, many industry leaders remain hopeful, recognizing that strong partnerships are essential to adapting to evolving consumer demands and ensuring long-term resilience. Building robust processor relationships is crucial for the sustainable growth of dairy producers, making continuous dialogue and collaboration indispensable.

Key Takeaways:

  • Communication: Open and transparent dialogue is crucial for understanding mutual needs and market dynamics.
  • Economic Insight: Producers should seek knowledge about milk price risks and broader food price risks to navigate economic uncertainties better.
  • Capacity Challenges: Current processing capacity limitations represent a significant hurdle impacting the industry’s ability to expand.
  • Future Aspirations: Honest discussions about long-term goals can foster beneficial partnerships and build trust.
  • Retirement Considerations: Inadequate processing capacity may force older dairy owners to rethink their operational strategies.
  • Confidence Levels: A notable portion of dairy operators lack confidence in their current processor relationships, indicating room for improvement.

Summary:

The dairy industry’s modernization has highlighted the importance of strong producer-processor relationships, which have been tested during the global pandemic. Inadequate processing capacity is crucial for a farm’s survival as a dairy producer. With significant investments in boosting future processing capacity, the dairy industry has immense growth opportunities but also challenges. Effective communication is essential for sustainability and growth. Both producers and processors must engage in clear dialogue about daily operations, market dynamics, and potential risks. Open lines of communication allow producers to gain insights from processors, especially during global disruptions like the pandemic. Honesty and forthrightness are essential, even when discussing challenging topics like market constraints. Maintaining clear communication channels enhances market confidence and operational resilience. However, many dairy operators express uncertainty about the durability of their relationships with processors and the future stability of their milk market. Exploring international opportunities, particularly in expanding Asian markets, could significantly bolster the dairy industry’s forward trajectory.

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