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North American Dairy Trade: US-Mexico Relations Strengthen Amid Canada’s Growing Trade Tensions

Explore the evolving North American dairy trade: How are US-Mexico relations strengthening amid Canada’s growing tensions with global trade partners? Discover more.

The current state of dairy trade in North America reveals contrasting dynamics. The US and Mexico maintain a cooperative relationship, regularly meeting to foster mutually beneficial dairy policies. In contrast, Canada’s protective trade measures have strained relations with the US, New Zealand, and the UK, leading to multiple disputes. 

“The coming US election and possible upcoming changes in Canadian federal government leadership, trade dynamics, and policy uncertainty will continue to be the biggest factors affecting Canada’s dairy industry.” — Al Mussell, Canadian Agri-Food Policy Institute 

  • The US and Mexico have regularly met since 2016 to strengthen their dairy trade relationship.
  • Canada’s protective stance has led to significant disputes over market access and dairy trade quotas.
  • Recent developments indicate ongoing challenges with potential impacts on future trade negotiations.

As North America’s dairy trade landscape shifts, stakeholders from all nations play a crucial role in closely monitoring for signs of stability and resolution. Their involvement is key to understanding the current state of affairs and shaping the future of the industry.

US-Mexico Dairy Summit: Strengthening Cross-Border Alliances in Dairy Trade 

The recent meeting in Chihuahua, Mexico, was not just pivotal, but a beacon of hope for renewing commitments between US and Mexican dairy industry leaders. The event underscored the robust and ongoing partnership and the shared focus on mutually beneficial dairy policies, instilling optimism for future cooperation. 

The US delegation, led by the National Milk Producers Federation and US Dairy Export Council, included representatives from over 14 major companies. Their Mexican counterparts, the Mexican Association of Milk Producers and the National Chamber of Milk Industries, are essential in advancing dairy trade relations, ensuring both nations benefit from strategic policy alignment.

Navigating Uncertain Waters

Al Mussell, a prominent figure in the Canadian Agri-Food Policy Institute, recently delivered a keynote address at the Progressive Dairy Operators Symposium. His insights on the upcoming US presidential election and potential changes in Canadian federal leadership were particularly enlightening. 

Mussell described American trade policy as increasingly protectionist, stressing the need for Canada’s dairy sector to stay alert and adaptable. Understanding this stance is crucial to safeguarding the Canadian dairy market and its regulatory framework. New US trade policies could introduce challenges, requiring strategic responses from Canadian stakeholders. 

Mussell’s insights are particularly relevant amid international tensions, as countries like the US, New Zealand, and the UK criticize Canada’s protectionist trade practices. His analysis underscores the importance of understanding these global dynamics and reinforcing Canada’s dairy industry against external pressures.

Protectionist American Polocies: A Significant Challenge for Canada’s Dairy Sector 

Al Mussell’s view on American trade policy being protectionist highlights a pivotal issue for Canada’s dairy sector. He stresses the importance of Canadian policymakers and industry leaders grasping this stance to fortify the sector in a competitive global market. Mussell’s insights call for sharp trade negotiations and policies to shield Canada’s dairy industry from adverse external influences. 

Canada’s protectionist measures in its dairy market face mounting international criticism. The US argues that Canada’s dairy trade quotas don’t match USMCA commitments, reflecting considerable frustration. New Zealand shares this sentiment, with Trade Minister Todd McClay criticizing Canada’s partial compliance with a CPTPP ruling on dairy market access. McClay insists on complete adherence to trade agreements and is ready to take further legal steps if necessary. 

Britain also voiced dissatisfaction, halting trade talks with Canada, particularly impacting the dairy sector. This international pressure highlights the tension around Canada’s protectionist policies, urging Canada to reassess its stance to reduce disputes and uphold solid trade relations.

New Zealand Stands Firm on CPTPP Compliance, Criticizes Canada’s “Cynical” Maneuvers

In a heated dispute under the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), New Zealand Trade Minister Todd McClay slammed Canada for not fully complying with a trade ruling. McClay called Canada’s actions “cynical” and stated firmly that New Zealand will not back down. He’s seeking urgent legal advice on the next steps, emphasizing that Canada still has a chance to meet its CPTPP obligations. This follows four market access claims by New Zealand against Canada last year. New Zealand’s approach remains undisclosed but signals a vigorous pursuit of justice in trade.

Canada’s Dairy Quotas: A Point of Contention in USMCA Trade Dynamics

US dairy organizations and officials are frustrated with Canada’s dairy trade quotas, claiming they’re inconsistent with the USMCA. They argue that Canada’s quota system unfairly limits American dairy products’ access to the Canadian market. Despite the USMCA’s goal of freer trade, Canada’s approach is seen as protectionist, disadvantaging US dairy exporters. This issue highlights the ongoing trade tensions and challenges in international agreements.

Stalled Negotiations: UK-Canada Dairy Trade Talks Face Persistent Deadlock

The halted trade negotiations between the UK and Canada over dairy and other goods highlight a significant impasse, which has lasted over two years. This deadlock reflects deeper trade tensions and conflicting policies that have blocked progress. Despite initial enthusiasm, critical gaps still need to be solved, making the future of bilateral trade relations uncertain.

Bill C-282: A Legislative Bombshell Shaking Canada’s Dairy Trade Policy

Bill C-282 is set to significantly reshape Canada’s dairy trade policy. This proposed law aims to limit trade negotiators from granting further market access for dairy, poultry, and eggs in future trade deals, reinforcing the protectionist stance that has drawn criticism from the US, New Zealand, and the UK. This legislation could heighten existing tensions and hinder future trade talks if passed. 

The ramifications of Bill C-282 are substantial. Canada risks alienating itself in the global market by legally restricting negotiators and facing broader agricultural trade consequences. Supporters argue it will protect Canadian agriculture, but critics warn of potential retaliatory measures and reduced global influence. 

Bill C-282, having successfully passed its second Senate reading, is now on the verge of becoming law. Its adoption would mark a significant shift in Canada’s trade policy, potentially drawing attention from both domestic and international stakeholders.

The Bottom Line

North America’s dairy trade landscape is indeed complex and ever-changing. The strong ties between the US and Mexico contrast sharply with the ongoing tensions with Canada. While US and Mexican industries unite over collaborative policies, Canada faces accusations of protectionism from the US, New Zealand, and the UK. However, the Canadian dairy sector, with its robust supply management systems, stands strong in the face of these challenges. Understanding these tensions’ geopolitical and economic implications is crucial for stakeholders navigating this evolving market, but they can do so with confidence in the sector’s resilience.

Key Takeaways:

  • The US and Mexico reaffirmed their cooperative dairy trade relationship at a summit in Chihuahua, Mexico.
  • More than 14 US dairy companies, alongside prominent Mexican dairy organizations, participated in the summit.
  • Al Mussell of the Canadian Agri-Food Policy Institute highlighted the impact of potential changes in US and Canadian political leadership on dairy trade dynamics.
  • American trade policy is perceived as protectionist, posing challenges for the Canadian dairy sector.
  • New Zealand criticizes Canada’s non-compliance with CPTPP dairy trade rulings, threatening further legal action.
  • The US and Canadian dairy trade tensions persist due to disagreements over USMCA dairy quota implementations.
  • The UK-Canada dairy trade talks remain stalled, with no progress over the past two years.
  • Bill C-282 is advancing in the Canadian Senate, potentially tightening future dairy market access concessions in trade negotiations.


Summary: The dairy trade in North America is complex and evolving, with the US and Mexico maintaining cooperative relationships. Canada’s protective trade measures have strained relations with the US, New Zealand, and the UK, leading to multiple disputes. The upcoming US election and potential changes in Canadian federal government leadership, trade dynamics, and policy uncertainty will continue to affect Canada’s dairy industry. The US-Mexico Dairy Summit in Mexico reinforced commitments between US and Mexican dairy industry leaders. Al Mussell, a prominent figure in the Canadian Agri-Food Policy Institute, has described American trade policy as increasingly protectionist, stressing the need for Canada’s dairy sector to stay alert and adaptable. Canada’s protectionist measures face international criticism, with the US arguing that Canada’s dairy trade quotas don’t match USMCA commitments. New Zealand and Britain have also voiced dissatisfaction, halting trade talks with Canada, particularly impacting the dairy sector. Bill C-282, aiming to significantly reshape Canada’s dairy trade policy, is on the verge of becoming law.

(T3, D1)

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