H5N1 hits 1,000 U.S. dairy herds: California crisis & Nevada’s viral strain demand urgent action. Milk losses, raw milk risks, and pandemic fears escalate.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: The H5N1 avian influenza outbreak has infected over 1,000 U.S. dairy herds across 17 states, with California accounting for 759 cases and Nevada confirming a dangerous new viral strain (D1.1). Two distinct genotypes—B3.13 and D1.1—now threaten cattle, with the latter showing mammalian adaptation markers that heighten transmission risks. Dairy farms face catastrophic losses (0/cow over 60 days), while raw milk poses lethal risks to humans and animals. Federal agencies emphasize pasteurization safety but warn of gaps in biosecurity and compensation. With 41 human cases linked to dairy exposure and evidence of airborne transmission in ferrets, the outbreak underscores urgent needs for enhanced surveillance, producer support, and pandemic preparedness.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
- Dual viral threat: B3.13 and D1.1 genotypes circulate simultaneously, with D1.1’s PB2 D701N mutation raising zoonotic risks.
- Economic devastation: Infected herds lose ~2,000 lbs of milk/cow over 60 days, costing $737,500 for a 3,900-cow operation.
- Raw milk roulette: Contains 10^9 viral particles/mL—linked to fatal cat infections and human conjunctivitis cases.
- Biosecurity gaps: Only 28% of farms use PPE consistently; USDA offers $28,000/premise for upgrades.
- Low public risk, high vigilance: No human-to-human transmission yet, but ferret studies show airborne spread potential.

When Jim Vlahos found his Central Valley dairy’s milk production plummeting overnight last December, he joined the growing ranks of producers battling America’s most significant animal health crisis in decades. With recent detections in California and Nevada pushing the national count past 1,000 affected herds, what started as a distant concern has become a harsh reality for dairy farmers across 17 states.
“We’re burning through $28,000 a month just on PPE and extra labor,” said Vlahos. “The milk losses are brutal, but the uncertainty keeps me up at night.”
The Dairy Disaster by the Numbers
Since the first cases hit Texas and Kansas dairies on March 25, 2024, this virus has torn through operations from coast to coast:
- 1,005 affected herds across 17 states by April 9, 2025
- California: 759 herds (75.5% of all U.S. cases)
- Nevada: 11 herds, including a dangerous new viral strain
- Recovery rate: 492 of 759 California herds have recovered, but many report milk production is still down 8-9% months later
Things got so bad in California that Governor Newsom declared a State of Emergency last December, followed by a statewide ban on dairy and poultry exhibitions in January. Despite these measures, new cases keep popping up, showing how tough this virus is to contain.
Double Trouble: Two Viral Strains Now Threatening Your Herd
In a worrying twist, scientists have found a second viral strain in U.S. dairy cattle. This discovery means we’re fighting a two-front war:
Strain | Where It Came From | First Found | What Makes It Dangerous | Human Risk |
B3.13 | Wild bird mutation in late 2023 | March 2024 (TX/KS) | It has a genetic tweak (PB2 E627K) that helps it thrive in mammals | 38 human cases, mostly pink eye in dairy workers |
D1.1 | Direct jump from wild birds | February 2025 (NV) | Different genetic change (PB2 D701N) that also helps it spread in mammals | 3 human cases with more severe symptoms |
“We followed all protocols, but the virus tore through our parlors in days,” says Maria Gutierrez, Churchill County, Nevada farmer. “This isn’t the same bug we saw last year.”
The emergence of D1.1 in Nevada proves wild birds can repeatedly introduce H5N1 into dairy herds through separate spillover events. This blows apart earlier hopes that the virus might be a one-time occurrence that could be contained just by limiting cattle movement.
How H5N1 Attacks Your Dairy Cows
Unlike typical respiratory diseases, H5N1 has a special affinity for the mammary gland, creating the perfect storm for dairy operations:
- Primary target: The milk-producing tissue in the udder, causing severe inflammation
- Massive viral shedding: Infected cows pump out milk loaded with virus (billions of infectious particles per milliliter)
- Production hit: Affected cows lose about 2,000 pounds of milk over 60 days
- Spread pattern: Mainly through contaminated milk and shared milking equipment, not through the air
This explains why your lactating cows get hit while heifers, calves, and beef cattle mostly dodge the bullet. It also shows why milk production becomes a victim and a vehicle for viral spread.
The Bottom Line: What This Costs Your Operation
Let’s talk dollars and cents. The financial toll has been brutal:
- Production losses: $950 per infected cow over 60 days (Ohio herd study)
- Total damage: $737,500 for a typical 3,900-cow dairy over 67 days
- Added costs: Enhanced biosecurity, testing, vet bills, and potential culling
- Market effects: Downward pressure on milk prices in some regions
The USDA has stepped up with support programs—including ELAP for lost milk production and up to $28,000 per affected farm over 120 days for biosecurity measures—but many producers say these funds barely dent their losses.
Raw Milk: Playing Russian Roulette
If you’re still selling raw milk, you’re gambling with more than just fines:
- Infected cows shed massive amounts of virus in milk, even before showing symptoms
- Multiple cats have died after drinking raw milk from infected cows
- The FDA and CDC strongly warn against consuming raw milk products
The good news? Pasteurization completely kills the H5N1 virus, making commercial milk safe. The FDA has tested hundreds of retail pasteurized dairy products and found zero viable virus.
Five Critical Biosecurity Steps Every Dairy Should Take Now
These aren’t just government recommendations—they’re survival strategies:
- Lockdown farm access – Only essential personnel get in, and vehicles get cleaned
- Keep birds away – Cover feed, remove standing water, consider bird deterrents around barns
- Heat-treat waste milk – Kill the virus before disposal or feeding to other animals
- Double down on milking hygiene – Clean and disinfect equipment between groups
- Protect your people – Provide proper PPE (respirators, eye protection, gloves) and make sure they use it
Money on the table: USDA will help pay for biosecurity plan development ($1,500), in-line milk samplers ($100), PPE and laundering ($2,000/month), waste milk heat treatment ($2,000/month), vet costs ($10,000), and sample shipping ($50/shipment).
The Threat We Can’t Ignore
While most human cases have been mild (41 dairy-related infections, mainly causing pink eye in farm workers), this virus bears watching. Here’s why:
- Both viral strains show genetic changes that help them thrive in mammals
- Lab tests show a human sample from the cattle outbreak could spread between ferrets through the air
- With over 1,000 infected herds, the virus has countless opportunities to mutate further
The CDC says the risk to the general public remains low, but dairy farms are on the front lines of what could become a more significant health challenge if the virus learns to spread more easily between people.
The Bullvine’s Bottom Line
This isn’t just a health crisis—it’s Darwinian selection in real-time. The dairies that will survive are those treating biosecurity as their new religion, not a compliance checkbox.
The virus is here to stay. Wild bird reservoirs and multiple introduction pathways make complete eradication unlikely anytime soon. Forward-thinking producers are making permanent biosecurity upgrades, exploring milk testing technologies, and pushing for effective cattle vaccines as the most practical path forward.
For the latest updates on the H5N1 situation and guidance explicitly tailored for dairy operations, The Bullvine will continue to provide comprehensive coverage of this evolving crisis.
This article synthesizes USDA APHIS, CDC, FDA, and peer-reviewed research data to provide the most current and accurate information on the H5N1 outbreak in U.S. dairy cattle.
Learn more:
- H5N1 Crisis One Year Later: What Dairy Farmers Need to Know
Explore how the H5N1 outbreak has evolved over the past year, its economic toll on dairy farms, and practical steps to enhance biosecurity and milk safety. - H5N1 in Sheep: The Dairy Industry’s Wake-Up Call You Can’t Ignore
Learn how a UK sheep outbreak reveals critical vulnerabilities in dairy biosecurity, with lessons that could help prevent devastating losses in U.S. herds. - Avian Influenza Outbreak: Latest Developments in U.S. Dairy Industry
Stay updated on the latest H5N1 developments, including new safety rules, economic impacts, and strategies to protect your herd from this ongoing threat.
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